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中国农学通报 ›› 2010, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (24): 276-286.

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

气候变化对湖南主要农作物种植结构的影响

廖玉芳 宋忠华 赵福华 杜东升 陆魁东   

  • 收稿日期:2010-05-13 修回日期:2010-06-12 出版日期:2010-12-20 发布日期:2010-12-20

Impacts of Climate Change on the Agricultural Planting Structure of Main Crops in Hunan

  • Received:2010-05-13 Revised:2010-06-12 Online:2010-12-20 Published:2010-12-20

摘要:

基于湖南省97个地面气象观测站1961-2008年逐日平均气温、最高气温、最低气温、降水量、日照时数等气象观测资料,选择最佳小网格推算模型推算出500m×500m的高空间分辨率的网格序列资料;基于双季稻、油菜、棉花、柑桔、油茶、烟草等主要农作物生长条件及相关区划研究成果,确立相应农作物种植适宜性气候区划指标;结合地理信息资料,运用GIS技术,开展主要农作物种植适宜性动态气候区划。结果表明:气候变化对湖南主要农作物种植结构均有一定的影响,对双季稻的影响主要表现为熟性搭配区的变化,对油菜、油茶、柑桔的影响主要是最适宜种植面积增大,对棉花、烟草的影响主要最适宜种植面积减少。针对气候变化对湖南主要农作物种植适宜性的影响及相应农作物种植适宜性的气候区划结果,提出应对建议为:充分利用滨湖平原、河谷平原和盆地气候资源,扩大复种指数,提高单位面积产量;充分利用山地气候资源,做大做强湖南油茶产业;充分利用区域气候资源,打造湖南柑桔品牌;充分利用小气候资源,发展湘西、湘南特色烟叶。

关键词: 红掌, 红掌, 茉莉酸, 高温胁迫

Abstract:

Based on daily meteorological records of mean, minimum and maximum air temperatures, sunshine hours as well as precipitation from more than 97stations from 1961 to 2008 across Hunan province, we employ the best small grid interpolating methods to develop the high-resolution grid series data with the grid distance of 500 m. Based on the main crops growth conditions and regionalization research results of double cropping rice, rape, cotton, satsuma mandarin, sweet orange, pummelo, camellia oleifera, tobacco, we establish the corresponding indexes of climatic regionalization for main crops suitability. Combined with the geographic information data and based on GIS, we carry out the work of dynamic climatic regionalization for main crops planting suitability. The results show that the climate change has some influences on the planting structure of main crops in Hunan province. The major impact on double cropping rice is the change of ripe cycle, onrape and camellia oleifera as well asorange is the increased area of optimum suitable planting, on cotton and tobacco is the decreased area of optimum suitable planting. According to the impacts of climate change on planting structure and the results of agricultural climatic regionalization, we propose as follows: make full use of climate resources of lakeshore plain and valley plain as well as basin to raise multiple crop index, and to increase the yield per unit area; make full use of mountain climate resources to make the camellia oleifera industry bigger and stronger; make full use of regional climate resources to create the orange brand; make full use of microclimatic resource to develop the special tobacco planting in western and southern Hunan province