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中国农学通报 ›› 2012, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (28): 74-80.

• 林学 园艺 园林 • 上一篇    下一篇

沙棘木蠹蛾对新疆的风险分析

于海伦 温俊宝 陈梦   

  • 收稿日期:2012-05-07 修回日期:2012-07-24 出版日期:2012-10-05 发布日期:2012-10-05
  • 基金资助:

    新疆维吾尔自治区科技支疆项目

Pest Risk Analysis of Holcocerus hippophaecolus to Xinjiang

  • Received:2012-05-07 Revised:2012-07-24 Online:2012-10-05 Published:2012-10-05

摘要:

为了预判沙棘木蠹蛾在新疆的潜在扩散区及其对扩散区内沙棘可能带来的危险,利用适生性分析软件CLIMEX和GARP,结合新疆沙棘种植分布情况,从沙棘在新疆的分布状况、沙棘木蠹蛾的潜在危险性、寄主经济重要性、传播扩散可能性和危险性管理难度等方面,分析了沙棘木蠹蛾在新疆发生的风险。结果表明,新疆大部分地区有沙棘木蠹蛾入侵风险,吐鲁番盆地、伊犁地区、阿勒泰地区、克孜勒苏、喀什地区、和田地区均适于沙棘木蠹蛾生存,且多地区为高度适生区。结合量化分析评判标准,得出其R值为2.24,属于高度危险的有害生物。应加强风险管理,建议列入新疆补充林业检疫性有害生物名单,对沙棘木蠹蛾进行严格检疫。

关键词: 固定剂, 固定剂

Abstract:

,In order to foresee the diffusion areas of Holcocerus hippophaecolus in Xinjiang and its potential damage to the sea buckhorn of those areas, the research potential climate suitable distribution of Holcocerus hippophaecolus in Xinjiang was predicted by CLIMEX and GARP software, from parts of sea buckhorn’s distribution, the host economical importance, possibility of spreading and diffusion, management difficulties of H. hippophaecolus to analyze the risk in Xinjiang. The result showed that most part of Xinjiang had the risk about H. hippophaecolus. Combined the raise area and status of distribution, it indicated that Turpan Basin, Yili region, Aletai region, Kizilsu Kirgiz region, Kasgar region and Hotan region are adequate for H. hippophaecolus to exist, and most of this place were high suitable regions. Combined the judging standard of quantitative analysis of pest risk assessment, R value of H. hippophaecolus was 2.24. It was a high devastating forest pest in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. And it was dangerous for the ecosystem, soil and water conservation and forest economy of Xinjiang. So it was important to take effective measures to control the damage and diffusion of H. hippophaecolus, it suggested that to let H. hippophaecolus in the supplement list of forestry quarantine pest for Xinjiang.