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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2013, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (5): 81-85.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2012-3188

所属专题： 水产渔业

• 农村产业结构与区域经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于引力模型的中国虾产品出口影响因素分析

宁夏 孙琛   

  • 收稿日期:2012-09-20 修回日期:2012-10-09 出版日期:2013-02-15 发布日期:2013-02-15
  • 基金资助:
    中国水产学会 2011年课题 “水产品市场贸易政策及产业政策研究”。

The Analysis of Factors Influencing the Export of China Shrimp Products Based on the Gravity Model

  • Received:2012-09-20 Revised:2012-10-09 Online:2013-02-15 Published:2013-02-15

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摘要： 中国是虾产品出口大国，出口规模从总体上逐年增大但也有小范围的波动，文章主要研究影响虾产品出口规模的因素及影响程度，为虾产品的出口调整提供理论依据，并为政府企业部门决策时作参考。使用贸易引力模型，基于2005—2009年24个国家的面板数据来分析影响出口的主要因素。结果表明：进口国的GDP、中国虾产品的产量及APEC成员对虾产品的出口起促进作用，尤其是产量起着决定性作用，而两国间的距离起阻碍作用。根据结果提出加强健康养殖、提高运输保鲜条件与技术、加快区域经济一体化的建议。

关键词: 切花品质, 切花品质

Abstract: China was a major exporter of shrimp products and the scale of export increases every year on the whole with a certain small fluctuations sometimes. This paper mainly studied the factors and their degree that affect the shrimp products export, not only providing a theoretical support for the rearrangement of export structure, but also a reference for the government and corporate sector to decisions. We used the gravity model to research on the main factors affecting the export of shrimp products based on the panel data of 24 countries during the year of 2005 to 2009. The results showed that the GDP of the importing country, shrimp production in China and APEC members played a catalytic role in the export of shrimp products. The production played a decisive role especially, while the distance between the two countries plays a negative role. Responding to the above, we proposed some suggestions that we should strengthen the health breeding, accelerate regional economic integration, and improve the transport storage conditions and technical.