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中国农学通报 ›› 2014, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (32): 114-121.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2014-0547

所属专题: 现代农业发展与乡村振兴

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于Logic 回归模型的农民宅基地退出意愿测算 ——以玉泉镇4 个村庄为例

魏晨,陈英,白志远,黄思琴   

  1. 甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院,甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院,甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院,甘肃农业大学
  • 收稿日期:2014-03-04 修回日期:2014-03-04 接受日期:2014-05-26 出版日期:2014-11-20 发布日期:2014-11-20
  • 通讯作者: 魏晨
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然基金项目“后农业税时代甘肃农村土地经济问题调查研究村民关联度与农地利用的关系研究——以甘肃河西走廊为例” (71263003)。

Measurement of the Farmers’Willingness of Rural Residential Land Exits Base on the Logic Regression Model: A Study on Four villages of Yuquan Town

  • Received:2014-03-04 Revised:2014-03-04 Accepted:2014-05-26 Online:2014-11-20 Published:2014-11-20

摘要: 采用问卷调查法与Logic 回归分析法,以玉泉镇4 个村庄为例,分析影响农民宅基地退出意愿因素,目的在于了解农民的态度和想法,从而有针对性开展相关工作以激发农民退出意愿,保障农村宅基地稳定退出。Logic 回归分析的结果表明,农民宅基地退出意愿与农民拥有职业技能、家庭中外出打工人数、家庭年收入、家庭中宅基地数量有显著正向关系,与农民年龄、农业收入比重、(每户)宅基地总面积有显著负向关系。根据Logic 回归分析得出的结论,提出几点政策建议激发农民退出意愿:提高退出补偿标准、开展农民职业技能培训、增加农民收入等。

关键词: 花青苷, 花青苷

Abstract: This paper used questionnaire survey and Logic regression analysis, took four villages of Yuquan Town, Tianshui City for example, to analyze the influence factors of farmers’willingness of rural residential land exits and understand app:addword:comprehendthe farmers’attitudes and ideas, in order to carry out related work to stimulate farmers’willingness and ensure the stability of rural residential land exits. The results of the Logic regression analysis showed that the farmers’willingness of rural residential land exits had a significant positive correlation with the vocational skills they possessed, the numbers of migrant workers in the family, the household income and the number of family homestead, and had a significant negative relationship with farmers’age,the proportion of agricultural income and (household) total area of homestead. Based on the conclusions from the Logic regression analysis, the article offered some policy suggestions to stimulate farmers' quit willingness: improve the compensation standard, train farmers’vocational skills, increase their income and so on.