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中国农学通报 ›› 2014, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (32): 96-101.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2014-0610

所属专题: 现代农业发展与乡村振兴

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

农村流动人口对农业经济影响初探——基于上海市的实证研究

张帅,王颖   

  1. 上海海洋大学,上海海洋大学
  • 收稿日期:2014-03-09 修回日期:2014-03-09 接受日期:2014-04-08 出版日期:2014-11-20 发布日期:2014-11-20
  • 通讯作者: 张帅

The Impact of Rural Floating Population on Agricultural Economic: Empirical Research Based on Shanghai

  • Received:2014-03-09 Revised:2014-03-09 Accepted:2014-04-08 Online:2014-11-20 Published:2014-11-20

摘要: 为了了解农村流动人口对农业经济的影响,维护区域粮食安全,以上海市为例,依据1992—2012年上海市种植业、林业、畜牧业、渔业的总产值和农村流动人口数据,采用灰色关联度和改良道格拉斯生产函数分析对农村流动人口与种植业、林业、畜牧业、渔业的关系以及农村流动人口对种植业、林业、畜牧业、渔业的贡献度进行分析。结果表明农村流动人口与4 个子行业的关联度都非常高,对种植业和畜牧业贡献值为正,对林业和渔业贡献值为负。在此基础上,建议引导农村流动人口向种植业和畜牧业流动将有利于农业经济发展。

关键词: 浮萍 重金属 SOD、POD、MDA, 浮萍 重金属 SOD、POD、MDA

Abstract: In order to understand the influence of rural floating population on the agricultural economy and maintain the regional food security, this paper took Shanghai as an example for study based on the total output value in respect of farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industries and rural floating population data from 1992 to 2012 in Shanghai. It analyzed the relationship between the rural floating population and planting, forestry, animal farming and fishery industries, and the contribution degree of rural floating population on farming, forestry, animal farming and fishery industries by using grey correlation and the modified Douglas production function. The results showed that the correlation between the rural floating population and 4 related industries are very high, and the contribution value to the farming industry and animal husbandry is quite positive, the contribution value to the forestry and fishery industry is negative. On this basis, this paper also made some suggestions to guide the rural floating population to the farming industry and animal husbandry, which would be very conducive to the development of agricultural economy.