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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (26): 92-96.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb16030092

所属专题： 现代农业发展与乡村振兴

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

新疆农业面源污染影响因素分析

张 芳,马 瑛   

  1. (新疆农业大学管理学院,乌鲁木齐 830052）
  • 收稿日期:2016-03-11 修回日期:2016-03-30 接受日期:2016-04-21 出版日期:2016-09-21 发布日期:2016-09-21
  • 通讯作者: 马瑛
  • 基金资助:
    “农业生态安全视角下新疆棉农生产行为的面源污染效应及调控机制研究”(xjkx-14-044)。

Influence Factors on Agricultural Non-point Source Pollution in Xinjiang

Zhang Fang, Ma Ying   

  1. (Management School of Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052)
  • Received:2016-03-11 Revised:2016-03-30 Accepted:2016-04-21 Online:2016-09-21 Published:2016-09-21

PDF (PC)

406

摘要： 采用二元Logistic回归模型分析新疆棉农种植棉花对农业面源污染的影响，为规范棉农行为，提高农资利用率，控制和减少农业面源污染的科学决策提供依据。研究结果表明：农业面源污染的主要影响因素有棉农的年龄、家庭人口总数、化肥农药地膜使用量、是否参与技术指导培训、棉农对治理农业环境污染的重视程度、国家对有机肥及生物农药给予足够补贴时棉农是否会采用等因素。建议措施有建立健全有效的农业技术推广体系，加大对棉农的教育与宣传力度，加大地膜回收力度，加大农业补贴力度鼓励棉农利用生物资源，有利于优化棉农生产行为，减少农业面源污染，建设环境友好型农业。

关键词: L-System, L-System, Web3D, 三维果园, Xfrog, Unity3D

Abstract: The influence of cotton planting on agricultural non-point source pollution (ANSP) in Xinjiang was studied by binary Logistic regression model, in order to provide a scientific basis for decision-making to standardize cotton farmers’ behavior, improve agricultural material use efficiency and control and reduce ANSP. The results showed that the main influence factors on ANSP in Xinjiang included cotton farmers’ age, total household population, application amount of chemical fertilizer, pesticide and plastic film, cotton farmers’ participation in technical training, awareness of ANSP control, and willingness of using organic fertilizer and bio-pesticide with state subsidy. The suggestions included establishing and perfecting an effective agricultural technic promotion system, strengthening education and publicity, enhancing mulch film recycle, increasing subsidy to encourage the use of biological resources. All these measures could optimize cotton farmers’ production behavior, reduce ANSP and construct environment friendly agriculture.