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中国农学通报 ›› 2011, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (23): 276-282.

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

2007年夏季淮河流域多时间尺度降水分布和传播特征

吴有训 束长汉 程雪生   

  • 收稿日期:2011-03-21 修回日期:2011-04-22 出版日期:2011-09-15 发布日期:2011-09-15

Distribution and Propagation Features of Multi-time Scale Precipitation over Huaihe River Basin in the Summer of 2007

  • Received:2011-03-21 Revised:2011-04-22 Online:2011-09-15 Published:2011-09-15

摘要:

针对2007年夏季淮河流域致洪暴雨,笔者采用美国NCEP/NCAR全球日平均分析场资料,对此次过程进行了详细地分析。Morlet小波分析结果表明:降水存在准35天、准18天和准8天周期变化现象。准35天周期低频降水从西南传播至淮河流域南部,另一方面从西北方向传播至淮河流域中南部;南海为低频降水传播源地也很清楚。降水的周期愈短,传播特征愈不明显。200 hPa与850 hPa水平散度差与降水有很好的对应关系,水平散度差>0(<0)对应降水区域(无降水区域),降水的传播与水平散度差基本一致。200 hPa与850 hPa水平散度差是不同时间尺度地面降水的预报因子。

关键词: 农村信息化, 农村信息化, 信息化指数, 农业总产值

Abstract:

The research on the heavy rainfall causing the flood Huaihe River basin during May to August in 2007 was focused on, using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis day-to-day data, the distribution and propagation features of multi-time scale precipitation over Huaihe River basin in the summer of 2007 were investigated. Morlet wavelet analysis results showed that there existed periodic change phenomenon of precipitation in quasi-35 days, quasi-18 days and quasi-8 days oscillaation. Periodic low frequency precipitation of quasi-35 days was from southwest propagation to the south of Huaihe River basin, and on the other hand from northwest propagation to the south central Huai River Basin; it was aslo clear that Nanhai was the propagation source of low frequency precipitation. The more short period of precipitation, the propagation features was not obvious. It was a very good corresponding relation that between horizontal divergence balance of from 200 hPa with 850 hPa and precipitation, horizontal divergence balance>0 corresponding to precipitation area, and horizontal divergence balance<0 to no precipitation area. The propagation of precipitation was mainly accord to horizontal divergence balance. The between horizontal divergence balance of from 200 hPa with 850 hPa was predictor of multi-time scale precipitation.