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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2012, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (5): 312-316.

所属专题： 资源与环境； 农业生态

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    

基于主成分分析的潍坊市水资源承载力评价研究

任玉忠 叶芳 高树东 姜道德 谭绪德 王依瑞   

  • 收稿日期:2011-08-30 修回日期:2011-09-20 出版日期:2012-02-15 发布日期:2012-02-15

Study on Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Weifang City Based on Principal Component Analysis

  • Received:2011-08-30 Revised:2011-09-20 Online:2012-02-15 Published:2012-02-15

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摘要：

为了探索潍坊市水资源承载力状况，运用主成分分析法，选取13个指标，建立了水资源承载力指标体系，通过确定2个主成分对潍坊市的水资源承载力进行评价研究。结果表明：（1）主成分分析法是一种进行区域水资源承载力评价研究的较好方法；（2）人口情况、社会经济状况、水资源开发利用程度是影响潍坊市水资源承载力的主要因素；（3）2000—2010年潍坊市的水资源承载力整体上呈上升趋势。本研究评价结果较好，可以为该地区的水资源可持续开发利用提供理论参考。

关键词: 变异规律, 变异规律

Abstract:

In order to explore the water resources carrying capacity in Weifang City, the author chose the method of principal component analysis, selected 13 indexes, and the evaluation index system of water resources carrying capacity were established, then evaluated and researched the water resources carrying capacity in Weifang City through the two principal components. The results showed that: (1) the principal component analysis was better method for evaluating and researching the water resources carrying capacity; (2) The demographic situation, socio-economic status and degree of water resources exploitation and using were the main factors affecting water resources carrying capacity; (3) As a whole, from 2000 to 2010, water resource carrying capacity in Weifang City was on the positive tendency. Due to the evaluated result of this study was better, so the result was as theory reference for the sustainable exploitation and using of water resources is viable.

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