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中国农学通报 ›› 2013, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (32): 105-111.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2012-3819

所属专题: 小麦

• 农村产业结构与区域经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国大麦生产格局变化及其决定因素

杨东群 李先德   

  • 收稿日期:2012-11-26 修回日期:2013-02-12 出版日期:2013-11-15 发布日期:2013-11-15
  • 基金资助:
    国家大麦青稞现代农业产业技术体系建设研究

Analysis on the Spatial Changes of Barley Production of China and Their Determinants

Yang Dongqun, Li Xiande   

  • Received:2012-11-26 Revised:2013-02-12 Online:2013-11-15 Published:2013-11-15

摘要: 笔者分析了中国大麦生产的时序变化特征以及大麦生产格局的总体变化。研究表明,1996—2010年,中国大麦生产重心由华北部向西北部及西南部转移,黄土高原区、蒙新区和西南区在全国大麦生产中的地位上升;长江中下游地区在全国大麦生产中的地位进一步加强;华北区大麦生产在全国的地位逐渐减弱。影响大麦生产格局变化的决定因素主要是:种植大麦的比较利益变化;大麦的茬口优势是否存在;大麦收购商是否存在、饲料加工企业是否积极采用大麦原料等。建议制定有利于提高农民大麦种植比较利益的政策;关注饲用大麦的发展,着手解决饲用大麦生产—销售—饲料加工—畜牧养殖—畜产品消费等饲用大麦产业链的各环节问题。

关键词: 单因子假设检验, 单因子假设检验

Abstract: The study analyzed the characteristic of temporal changes and the spatial variability of barley production. From 1996 to 2010, barley production was shifted from north China to northwest China and southwest China. Loess Plateau Area, Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang region, southwest area were becoming more and more important in barely production of China. The position of middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River in barley production was strengthened. The status of north China in Chinese barely production was gradually weakened. The determinants of spatial changes of barley production were as follows. Whether there were the comparative advantages of growing barely. Whether there were crop advantages for barely. Whether feed processing enterprises use barley as materials etc. We suggested that make policies improving comparative advantage of barely production of farmers. We should pay close attention to the development of feed barley, and solve problems of every segment in barley industry chain, such as production, selling, feed processing, livestock farming, and consumption of livestock products.

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