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中国农学通报 ›› 2013, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (35): 170-177.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2013-0249

所属专题: 现代农业发展与乡村振兴 农业工程 农业气象

• 工程 机械 水利 装备 • 上一篇    下一篇

江苏省设施塑料大棚发展气候适宜性评价

范轶 黄海静 覃文娜   

  • 收稿日期:2013-01-23 修回日期:2013-03-21 出版日期:2013-12-15 发布日期:2013-12-15
  • 基金资助:
    公益性行业(气象)科研专项;江苏省科技支撑项目

Climate Suitability Evaluation of the Development of Plastic Greenhouses in Jiangsu Province

  • Received:2013-01-23 Revised:2013-03-21 Online:2013-12-15 Published:2013-12-15

摘要: 为了对江苏省设施塑料大棚发展气候适宜性进行评价,统计了江苏省61个台站1981年到2010年的观测数据,利用基于加速遗传算法的投影寻踪(Projection Pursuit Evaluate,PPE)模型以及ArcGIS中多元线性回归插值法和反距离插值法绘制了江苏省光热资源分布图以及设施塑料大棚气候适宜性评价图。结果表明:江苏省冬春季节低温灾害主要发生在东北部地区,这些地区受冷空气影响较为严重;江苏省寡照灾害发生次数从南向北递减,沿江及洪泽湖一带为最大。综合评价可知江苏省塑料大棚发展适宜性以纬向分布为主,即从苏南向苏北递减,同时塑料大棚发展适宜性也受地形地貌影响,其中最适宜发展设施塑料大棚的主要在长江以南地区,长江以北到兴化、高邮、东台一线为地区相对也较为适宜,从兴化、东台一线往北适宜性相对较差,其中最北部的徐州、连云港以及宿迁部分地区不适宜发展设施塑料大棚。研究结果为江苏省塑料大棚发展的合理布局和气象灾害防御提供了科学依据。

关键词: 影响初探, 影响初探

Abstract: In order to evaluate the climate suitability of plastic canopy facilities development of Jiangsu Province, this study statistics the observation data of 61 stations in Jiangsu Province from 1981 to 2010, used projection pursuit evaluate (Projection Pursuit Evaluate, PPE) model, multiple linear regression interpolation method and inverse distance interpolation method in ArcGIS, we got the resource and the development of facilities agriculture climate suitability spatial distribution of Jiangsu Province. It was concluded that: in spring and winter, the low temperature mainly happened in the northeast of Jiangsu Province, which was seriously influenced by cold air. The happening of the low light decreased by degrees from south to north, and the Hongze Lake area was the largest. The results showed that, the development of Jiangsu plastics canopy suitability was given priority to zonal distribution to, that was, from north to south, and plastic canopy development suitability were also affected by topography influence. The most suitable areas for developing plastic canopy facilities mainly were in the south of the Yangtze River, north of the Yangtze River to Xinhua, Gaoyou, Dongtai a line to regional also was relatively appropriate. The suitability in these areas, which from north of Xinhua, Dongtai a line to regional was relatively poor, the most northern Xuzhou, Lianyungang and Suqian parts were not suitable for development of plastic canopy facilities. The results of the study provided that, the scientific basis for the development of Jiangsu plastics canopy of rational distribution and prevention of meteorological disasters.

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