关键词: 田间药效, 田间药效

Abstract: The growth of honey peach is closely related to the weather conditions in its phenological phase. The peach production can be forecast through analysing local meteorological conditions ,to provide guidance for production and sales. Using the local meteorological data and peach production data, the climate conditions were analyzed from three aspects, the heat, the illumination and the precipitation. Five predictors ,which are the sum of the highest temperature from late February to mid March, the sunshine hours from March to April, the precipitation in late March, the precipitation in late June to early July and the precipitation from August to September, are selected to establish the prediction model of Fenghua honey peach production by multiple regression method. The result show that the model has a great effect with a reliable and effective prediction.