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中国农学通报 ›› 2013, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (2): 183-189.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2012-2767

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

2011年山东一次罕见秋季连阴雨的环流特征分析

张芹 王文波 高晓梅 宋欣 刘桂才 杨萌 杨可栋   

  • 收稿日期:2012-08-13 修回日期:2012-09-01 出版日期:2013-01-15 发布日期:2013-01-15
  • 基金资助:
    山东省气象局预报员专项项目“潍坊市局地大暴雨分析与疑难个例落区研究”(sdyby2012-07);山东省潍坊市气象局科研项目“潍坊夏季暴雨气候特征分析与暴雨概念模型的初步建立”(2011wfqxkt02)。第一作者简介:张芹,女,1981年出生,山东高密人,工程师,本科,主要从事中短期预报。通信地址:261011山东省潍坊市气象局,E-mail:celery349@tom.com

The Circulation Characteristics Analysis of A Rare Continuous Autumn Rain of Shandong in 2011

  • Received:2012-08-13 Revised:2012-09-01 Online:2013-01-15 Published:2013-01-15

摘要: 为了加强对连阴雨天气成因的认识,从而提高预报员对此类天气过程的预报准确率,进而减少连阴雨对农作物造成的经济损失,利用NCEP、卫星云图、MICAPS常规观测资料等,对2011年9月11—19日山东秋季区域性连阴雨过程进行诊断分析。结果表明:这次连阴雨持续时间长、范围广、强度大;连阴雨发生的环流背景是副高南撤较迟,位置偏北,脊线在30°N附近,副高西北侧的西南气流与西风带冷空气交绥于山东所造成;连阴雨期间,亚欧上空大型环流相对稳定,乌拉尔山阻塞高压势力强且稳定,且贝加尔湖附近有一冷涡,同时副高、南亚高压和副热带西风急流的异常偏强、偏北和稳定维持,为此次连阴雨提供了有利的大尺度环流背景条件;强降水期间,东北—西南向的云带一直维持在山东上空,且云带的北缘与700 hPa切变线的位置一致。

关键词: 姑婆山国家森林公园, 姑婆山国家森林公园

Abstract: In order to strengthen the understanding of the causes of the rainy weather, so as to improve the forecast accurate rate of this kind weather, thereby reducing the economic loss caused, the author analyzed the continuous autumn rain process in September 11-19, Shandong by using NCEP, satellite cloud pictures and MICAPS conventional observation data and so on. The results showed that: the autumn rainy periods lasted for a long time, range, high strength; the circulation background happened autumn rainy periods of subtropical high withdraw south late and north by position, ridge line in 30°N near; the reason of process was the subtropical high of west southwest air and cold air phytoseiid interchanged in Shandong; during the autumn rainy periods, and large circulation over relatively stable, high pressure forces blocked the ural strong and stable, and there was a Lengguo near Lake Baikal, at the same time, the subtropical high and the south Asia high pressure and subtropical west breeze rushing abnormal partial strong, north and stable maintain the autumn rainy periods for providing favorable conditions of large scale circulation background; during the rainfall, northeast to southwest toward cloud belt had remained above in Shandong Province, and the band’s northern and 700 hPa shear line’s position was consistent.