[1]朱琳,李星敏,李艳丽等.陕北苹果适宜区基地县北扩的气候认证[J].陕西气象,2009 (6):1-4.ZHU Lin,LI Xingmin,LI Yanli et al. Climate certification for northern extension of Apple suitable area in Northern Shaanxi [J]. Shaanxi meteorological, 2009(6): 1-4. [2]屈振江,刘瑞芳,郭兆夏等.陕西省苹果花期冻害风险评估及预测技术研究[J].自然灾害学报,2013,22(1):219-225.QU Zhenjiang,LIU Ruifang,GUO Zhaoxia et al. Study on risk assessment and prediction technology of the frost damage of apple in Shaanxi Province,[J]. Journal of natural disasters, 2013,22 (1):219-225. [3]屈振江,周广胜,魏钦平.苹果花期冻害气象指标和风险评估[J].应用气象学报,2016,27(4):385-394.QU Zhenjiang,ZHOU Guangsheng,WEI Qinping. Meteorological indices and risk assessment of Apple freeze injury during flowering period [J]. Journal of Applied Meteorology,2016,27 (4): 385-394. [4]周林.果树花期霜冻的危害及预防措施[J].现代农业科技,2016 (8):94-95.ZHOU Lin. Damage and preventive measures of frost in flowering period of fruit trees [J]. modern agricultural science and technology,2016 (8):94-95. [5]高菊红.基于GIS的山东省苹果花期冻害风险分析与区划[D].山东:山东农业大学,2011:1-82.GAO Juhong. Risk analysis and regionalization of Apple flowering freeze injury in Shandong Province Based on GIS [D]. Shandong: Shandong Agricultural University, 2011:1-82. [6]李美荣.陕西省果区气候变化及苹果花期冻害风险分析与区划[D].甘肃:兰州大学,2008:1-67.LI Meirong. Climate change and risk analysis and regionalization of Apple flowering freeze injury in fruit region of Shaanxi province [D]. Gansu: Lanzhou University,2008:1-67. [7]张艳艳,赵玮,高庆先等.气候变化背景下陇东塬区‘红富士’苹果始花期研究[J].果树学报,2017,34(4):427-434.ZHANG Yanyan,ZHAO Wei,GAO Qingxian et al. Study on the initial flowering period of "red Fuji" apple in Longdong Plateau under the background of climate change [J]. Acta Sinica Sinica,2017,34 (4): 427-434. [8]杨秀武.苹果盛花期预报模式的探讨[J].果树科学,1989,6(1):42-45.YANG Xiuwu. Apple blossom prediction mode [J]. fruit science,1989,6 (1): 42-45. [9]柏秦凤,王景红,屈振江等.陕西苹果花期预测模型研究[J].中国农学通报,2013,29(19):164-169.BAI Qinfeng,WANG Jinghong,QU Zhenjiang et al,ZHANG Weimin. Prediction model of apple florescence in Shaanxi [J]. Chinese agronomy bulletin,2013,29 (19): 164-169. [10]毛明策,刘敏茹,姜创业等.苹果初花期与温度的关系研究[J].中国农业气象,2005,26(2):123-124.MAO Mingce,LIU Minru,JIANG Chuangye et al. Relationship between initial flowering period and temperature of apple [J]. China agro meteorology,2005,26 (2): 123-124. [11]金美玉,赵晶,付强.龙井市苹果梨始花期预报模型研究[J].安微农业科学,2017,45(25):189-192.JIN Meiyu,ZHAO Jing,FU Qiang. Study on the prediction model of apple pear blossom onset in longjing city [J]. An wei agricultural science,2017,45(25):189-192. [12]区胜祥,宋国雄.果树生物学零度和花期预报的研究[J].果树科学,1987,42(2):1-6.QU Shengxiang,SONG Guoxiong. Study on the zero and flowering prediction of fruit trees [J]. fruit science,1987,42 (2): 1-6. [13]杨秀武,程志东,郝寿青.苹果生物学零度组合模型的探讨[J].果树学报,2003,20(2):140-142.YANG Xiuwu,CHENG Zhidong,HAO Shouqing. Study on the zero degree combination model of Apple biology [J]. Acta Sinica Sinica,2003,20 (2): 140-142. [14]杨秀武.苹果生物学零度和花期有效积温的研究[J].果树学报,1995,12(2):98-100.YANG Xiuwu.Apple biological zero and flowering effective accumulated temperature [J]. Acta Sinica Sinica,1995,12 (2): 98-100. [15]陈亚东,孟宪学,赵瑞雪等.我国苹果产业科学数据建设初探[J].果树学报2016,33(6):719-726.CHEN Yadong,MENG Xianxue, ZHAO Ruixue et al. Preliminary study on the scientific data construction of apple industry in China [J]. Journal of fruit trees 2016,33 (6):719-726. [16]张维敏,李艳莉,刘耀武等.近50a陕西苹果果区积温变化趋势及突变特征分析[J].陕西农业科学,2012 (5):60-63.ZHANG Weimin,LI Yanli,LIU Yaowu et al. Analysis of accumulated temperature variation trend and mutation characteristics in apple fruit area of shaanxi province near 50a [J]. Shaanxi agricultural science,2012 (5):60-63. [17]郭睿.杨凌地区桃树花期预测模型研究[D].陕西:西北农林科技大学,2016:1-36.GUO Rui.Prediction model of peach blossom in Yangling area [D].Shaanxi: Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University,2016:1-36. [18]任宪威,梁红平,谢巍.预报树木物候期的平均温度法[J].北京林业大学学报,1991,13(2):87-92.REN Xianwei,LIANG Hongping,XIE Wei. Average temperature method for predicting phenological period of trees [J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University,1991,13 (2): 87-92. [19]郭连云,赵年武.贵德县梨树始花期与气象因子的相关分析及预报模型[J].中国农学通报,2016,32(7):147-151.GUO Lianyun, ZHAO Nianwu.The correlation analysis and forecast model of the beginning florescence and meteorological factors of pear tree in Guide County,[J]. China agronomy bulletin,2016,32 (7): 147-151. [20]张增信,王言鑫,杨艳蓉等.南京地区8种常见观赏树林花期可预报研究[J].生态科学,2014,33(4):642-648.ZHANG Zengxin,WANG Yanxin,YANG Yanrong et al.The study of the florescence of 8 common ornamental trees in Nanjing, 2014,33(4): 642-648. [21]刘中新,朱慧丽,李建平等.麻城龟峰山古杜鹃花期滚动预报方法探讨[J].气象科技,2016,44(1):130-135.LIU Zhongxin,ZHU Huili,LI Jianping et al.The method of rolling prediction of ancient Rhododendron in Macheng,[J]. meteorological technology,2016,44 (1): 130-135. [22]王晓默,李宪光,董宁等.济宁桃花盛花期预报模式[J].农学学报,2014,4(12):104-106.WANG Xiaomo,LI Xianguang,DONG Ning et al,DENG Haili.Prediction model of peach blossom bloom in Jining [J]. Acta agronomy Sinica,2014,4 (12): 104-106. [23]张爱英,王焕炯,戴君虎等.物候模型在北京观赏植物开花期预测中的适用性[J].应用气象学报,2014,25(4):483-492.ZHANG Aiying,WANG Huanjiong,DAI Junhu et al. Applicability of phenology model in predicting flowering period of ornamental plants in Beijing [J]. Journal of applied meteorology,2014,25(4):483-492. [24]张倩,李新建,吉春容等.基于逐步回归的库尔勒香梨始期预测模型[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2013,07(2):43-46.ZHANG Qian,LI Xinjian,JI Chunrong et al. Forecasting model of the initial period of korla xiangli based on gradual regression [J]. Desert and oasis climate,2013,07(2):43-46. [25]姚日升,涂小萍,丁烨毅等.宁波桃树花期预报方法[J].气象科技,2014,42(1):180-186.YAO Risheng,TU Xiaoping,DING Yeyi et al. Forecasting methods of peach blossom season in ningbo [J]. Meteorological technology,2014,42(1):180-186. [26]张爱英,张建华,高迎新等.SW物候模型在北京樱花始花期预测中的应用[J].气象科技,2015,43(2):309-313.ZHANG Aiying,ZHANG Jianhua,GAO Yingxin et al. Application of SW phenology model in the prediction of cherry blossom initiation in Beijing [J]. Meteorological science and technology,2015,43(2):309-313. [27]孔凡忠,刘继敏,孔莉等.菏泽牡丹初花期的中长期预报模型[J].中国农业气象,2011,32(1):115-121.KONG Fanzhong,LIU Jimin,KONG Li et al. Medium - and long-term forecast model of early flowering of peony in heze [J]. China agricultural meteorology,2011,32(1):115-121. [28]王存真,唐广田,白先达.桂花花期气象预报研究[J].中国农学通报,2014,30(22):74-78.WANG Cunzhen,TANG Guangtian,BAI Xianda.Research on meteorological forecast of osmanthus fragrans [J]. China agricultural bulletin,2014,30(22):74-78. [29]张利华,任曙霞,张永强等.梨树始花期预报[J].气象科技,2012,40(3):485-488.ZHANG Lihua,REN Shuxia,ZHANG Yongqiang et al.Forecast of pear blossom beginning period [J]. Meteorological technology,2012,40(3):485-488. [30]舒斯,肖玫,陈正洪.樱花始花期预报方法[J].生态学报,2018,38(2):405-411.SHU Si,XIAO Mei,Chen Zhenghong.Forecasting methods of cherry blossom initiation [J]. Journal of ecology,2008,38(2):405-411. [31]河北农业大学主编.果树栽培学[M].第二版.北京:农业出版社,1982:107-109,119-120.Horticulture [M]. Second edition. Beijing: agricultural press, 1982:107-109,119-120. [32]Fu Y S H,Piao S L,Zhao H F,Jeong S J,Wang X H,Vitasse Y,Ciais P,Janssens I A. Unexpected role of winter precipitation in determiningheat requirement for spring vegetation green-up at northern middle and high latitudes. Global Change Biology,2014,20( 12) :3743-3755.
|