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中国农学通报 ›› 2013, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (35): 317-322.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2013-1509

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

天水市近50年浅层地温变化特征分析

强玉柱 蒲金涌 刘扬 马杰 王小龙   

  • 收稿日期:2013-05-29 修回日期:2013-06-09 出版日期:2013-12-15 发布日期:2013-12-15

A Study on Variation Characteristics of Shallow Geotemperature in Tianshui in Recent 50 Years

  • Received:2013-05-29 Revised:2013-06-09 Online:2013-12-15 Published:2013-12-15

摘要: 为了研究气候变化对天水浅层地温的影响,利用天水市1963—2012年0~20 cm各层逐年、逐月平均温度资料,运用气候倾向率、变异系数、九点二次平滑、Mann-Kendall检验以及Yamamoto检验法等统计方法,分析该地近50年浅层地温变化及对气候变化的响应特征。结果表明:天水浅层各季节及年平均地温均呈显著性升高趋势。年平均地温升幅在(0.02~0.47)℃/10 a间;季平均升幅在(0.17~0.47)℃/10 a间。冬季浅层地温变异系数较大,夏季变异系数最小。各浅层平均地温的年际变化特征也为上升趋势。经历了“冷—暖”的演变过程。20世纪60—90年代初期为偏冷阶段;20世纪90年代中期—21世纪初地温为偏暖阶段;21世纪以后呈下降趋势。各浅层平均地温在1993年前后均发生了突变,5 cm、20 cm平均地温对气候变暖的响应更敏感。

关键词: 相关关系, 相关关系

Abstract: In order to study the impact of climate warming on shallow geotemperature in Tianshui, based on data of annual and monthly ground temperature in 0 cm to 20 cm in Tianshui from 1963 to 2012, the author analyzed the variation characteristics of ground temperature and its response to climate changing with the method of climate tendency rate, variable coefficient, nine points twice matching, Mann-Kendall test and the signal-to-noise ratio. The result showed that: annual and seasonal shallow geotemperature turned out increasing trend. The range of increasing of annual ground temperature was 0.02℃ to 0.47℃ per 10 years and that of seasonal was 0.17℃ to 0.47. ℃ per 10 years. It also showed that the annual variation coefficient of shallow geotemperature was the biggest in the winter and the smallest in the summer. The ground temperature variation in a decade of century also showed increasing trend. It experienced the evolution of cold to warm in all variation process, that showed it was colder period in 1960s to 1990s, warm period in 1990s to 2010s, and became colder again after 2010s. The turning point of ground temperature was around 1993 and was more obvious in depth of 5 cm and 20 cm.