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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2015, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (4): 286-290.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2014-2443

所属专题： 耕地保护

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    

昆明市城镇化对土地利用效率影响的实证分析

牛乐德1,2,3,彭籽明2,熊理然2,3,4,王大力2   

  1. (1云南师范大学教务处,昆明 650500；2云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院,昆明 650500；3云南师范大学/中国西南对外开放与边疆安全研究中心,昆明 650500；4云南师范大学国际学院,昆明 650500）
  • 收稿日期:2014-09-09 修回日期:2014-12-17 接受日期:2014-12-23 出版日期:2015-03-20 发布日期:2015-03-20
  • 通讯作者: 牛乐德
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金“城镇上山进程中基于空间绩效的云南高原湖滨城市用地结构优化研究：以昆明市为例”(41361042)；教育部人文社科研究青年基金“基于GIS的云南高原滇中城市群互斥-共生效应评价及其优化策略研究”(12YJCZH159)。

The Positive Analysis of the Effect of Urbanization on Land Utilization Efficiency in Kunming

Niu Lede1,2,3, Peng Ziming2, Xiong Liran2,3,4, Wang Dali2   

  1. (1Office of Academic Affairs, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500;2School of Tourism and Geographical Sciences, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500;3Yunnan Normal University/Southwest China's Opening-up and Border Land Safety Research Center, Kunming 650500;4School of International Studies, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500)
  • Received:2014-09-09 Revised:2014-12-17 Accepted:2014-12-23 Online:2015-03-20 Published:2015-03-20

摘要： 分析昆明市城镇化对土地利用效率影响程度，为昆明市城镇化发展提供一种视角和实践依据。运用SPSS主成分分析及格兰杰检验对昆明市土地利用效率的城城镇化影响进行综合评价。结果表明：（1）近年来昆明市城镇化进入稳健发展期，但土地开发利用欠佳；（2）协整检验结果显示，在长期内一个变量的变动可引起另一个变量的改变，即城镇化综合水平和土地利用综合指数之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系；（3）城镇化的有序进程与土地利用状况变动在短期内不存在因果关系。长期来看，城镇化综合水平有利于土地的集约利用的改进；但短期内，城镇化综合水平不利于土地集约利用，二者还未形成一个稳定的相互关系。

关键词: 粗纤维, 粗纤维

Abstract: The study aims to know the urbanization impact on land use and get a new perspective and theoretical basis for the development of urbanization in Kunming. The SPSS and Grainger test were used for evaluation. The results showed that: firstly, in recent years the development of Kunming entering a stable period, but land development is poor; secondly, the results of Cointegration test showed that variable changes could be caused by another variable change in long term, it meant that there was a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between the urbanization and the land utilization; thirdly, there was no causal relationship between urbanization development and land use in the short term. The level of urbanization was conducive to intensive use of land in long term, but the comprehensive urbanization level was not conducive to intensive use of land in the short term, and a stable relationship had not been formed.