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中国农学通报 ›› 2011, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (26): 181-186.

所属专题: 资源与环境 耕地保护

• 农业信息 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国耕地资源安全模式识别的PNN神经网络方法

李春华 李宁 骆华莹 王斌年   

  • 收稿日期:2011-02-28 修回日期:2011-03-17 出版日期:2011-10-15 发布日期:2011-10-15

The Mode Discrimination of Cultivated Land Security Condition in China Based on the PNN Network

  • Received:2011-02-28 Revised:2011-03-17 Online:2011-10-15 Published:2011-10-15

摘要:

耕地资源安全不仅事关中国的粮食安全,而且影响中国的生态安全和社会安全。为了分析各地区耕地安全的特点和影响因素,笔者首先选取评价指标,构建区域耕地资源安全风险评价模型,然后应用安全预警理论建立耕地安全风险评价指标阈值标准,最后利用PNN神经网络模型,对中国区域耕地风险进行分析。结果表明,中国耕地安全风险分为5类地区:高度危险区:四川、云南、内蒙古、福建、重庆、陕西、贵州、甘肃、青海,主要是生态脆弱区;危险地区:山东、北京、上海、天津、广西;值得关注地区:宁夏、江苏、浙江、西藏、广东,既有经济发达地区又有相对落后地区;安全区:辽宁、山西、河南、河北;高度安全区:安徽、湖南、湖北、新疆、海南、江西、吉林、黑龙江,安全和高度安全区中,大部分是中国的粮食主产区。这意味着中国耕地保护政策要转向耕地生态背景和质量的保护,经济发展对耕地资源的压力也不容忽视,同时要继续加强对粮食主产区耕地保护的倾斜政策,确保中国的粮食安全。

关键词: 银杏种仁, 银杏种仁, 总RNA提取

Abstract:

The security of cultivated land brings about a significant enfluence on both security of grain seccurity and the security of ecology and society. With the aim to provide observational constraints on the use of cultivated land in China, the author had set up a set of threshold indicator systems and derived a cultivated land risk evaluation model basing on the Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN) to distinguish the risk rank of cultivated land in China. The results showed that the highly risk area were located in the ecological vulnerable regions, it contained Sichuan, Yunnan, Neimenggu, Fujian, Chongqing, Shannxi, Guizhou, Gansu, Qinghai; The danger rank of cultivated land distributed in both the rapid economic areas and the relatively undeveloped areas, including to Shandong, Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjing, Guangxi; Ningxia, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Xizang, Guangdong were listed in observed attention areas. By virtue of being given a special favorite policy, Chinese maple grain production areas, such as Liaoning, Shanxi, Henan, Hebei; Anhui, Hunan, Hubei, Xinjiang, Hainan, Jiangxi, Jilin, Helongjiang owned a relative safe situation. These implied that the environment and quality of cultivated land in China should be paid a special attention, the pressure imposed by improper economic growth on the cultivated land should be relieved, and Chinese maple food production area should be given a special protecting policy with a view to Chinese food safety.