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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2018, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (30): 153-159.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb18040031

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于Probit-ISM 模型的农户林农复合经营行为 影响因素分析

周玉新,周健芝,戴迎春   

  1. 南京林业大学 经济管理学院,南京林业大学 经济管理学院,南京林业大学 经济管理学院
  • 收稿日期:2018-04-06 修回日期:2018-05-18 接受日期:2018-06-04 出版日期:2018-10-31 发布日期:2018-10-31
  • 通讯作者: 周玉新
  • 基金资助:
    江苏省林业三新工程项目“杨树干形调控修枝技术研究与示范推广”(LYSX[2016]48)；江苏省科技支撑计划项目“苏北杨农复合经营模式 的优化选择与示范推广”(BE2014404)；江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)。

Influencing Factors of Farmers’Behavior of Agroforestry Based on Probit-ISM Model

  • Received:2018-04-06 Revised:2018-05-18 Accepted:2018-06-04 Online:2018-10-31 Published:2018-10-31

摘要： 基于苏北27个村302户林农的调研数据,利用Probit模型和ISM模型,分别探究农户林农复合经营行为的影响因素及各因素间的关联性及层级结构。研究结果表明：户主的年龄、性别、家庭人口规模和对农林业相关政策的了解程度在5%水平上显著；户主的学历水平、家庭年收入、林地面积、是否加入合作社、是否有农技推广站和贷款意愿在1%水平上显著。其中,家庭年收入、是否有农技站和贷款经营意愿是表层直接因素,林地面积和对相关政策的了解程度是中层间接因素,家庭人口规模、户主的学历水平和是否加入合作社是深层根源因素。

关键词: 玉米小斑病菌, 玉米小斑病菌, 菌丝, 孢子, 生物学特性

Abstract: Based on the survey data of 302 households from 27 villages in northern part of Jiangsu Province, using the Probit-ISM model to explore the influencing factors on farmers’ behavior of agroforestry and their relevance and hierarchies. The results indicated that the age and gender of householders, the household population and the understanding of relevant policy were significantly at the level of 5%; educational levels, annual income, woodland area, participating in farmer cooperatives or not, having agricultural technology promotion stations or not and the willing to loan were significantly at the level of 1%. Among these, annual income, having agricultural technology promotion stations or not and the willing to loan are the surface direct factors; woodland area and the understanding of relevant policy are the intermediate indirect factors; household population, educational levels and participating in farmer cooperatives or not are the deep roots of factors.