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中国农学通报 ›› 2017, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (28): 117-122.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb16100046

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

近45年广西寒露风的时空变化特征

李艳兰,黄卓,谢敏   

  1. 广西壮族自治区气候中心,广西壮族自治区气候中心,广西壮族自治区气候中心
  • 收稿日期:2016-10-12 修回日期:2017-09-25 接受日期:2017-02-23 出版日期:2017-10-24 发布日期:2017-10-24
  • 通讯作者: 李艳兰
  • 基金资助:
    广西自然科学基金项目“广西持续低温雨雪冰冻过程预报概念模型研究”(2015GXNSFAA139243)。

Autumn Low Temperature in Guangxi: Spatio-temporal Variation Characteristics During 1971-2015

  • Received:2016-10-12 Revised:2017-09-25 Accepted:2017-02-23 Online:2017-10-24 Published:2017-10-24

摘要: 为了掌握广西寒露风的演变规律,为晚稻生产提供决策依据。[方法]利用广西88个气象站1971—2015年逐日平均气温资料,统计逐年寒露风初日、寒露风日数,采用线性倾向计算、阶段性分析、Morlet小波分析、Mann-Kendall突变检验、相关分析等方法,分析了广西寒露风的时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)近45年广西大部地区寒露风初日呈现推迟趋势,南部变化速率大于北部;大部地区寒露风日数呈现减少趋势,南部减少速率大于北部。(2)广西寒露风具有较明显的阶段性和突变性特征,突变发生在1998年。(3)寒露风初日、寒露风日数均存在4年、8年左右的周期变化。(4)广西寒露风对气候变暖的响应明显,寒露风初日与9—10月平均气温具有显著的正相关关系,而寒露风日数与9—10月平均气温具有显著的负相关关系。

关键词: 藿芪灌注液, 藿芪灌注液, 急性毒性, 长期毒性, 最大给药量, 小鼠, 大鼠

Abstract: Mastering the evolution of the Autumn Low Temperature (ALT) in Guangxi can provide decision-making basis for late rice production. [Method]Based on the daily temperature data from 88 meteorological stations in Guangxi, we calculated the yearly beginning date and the total days of ALT, and analyzed the spatio-temporal variation characteristics of ALT in Guangxi by using linear tendency calculation, stage analysis, Morlet wavelet analysis, Mann-Kendall mutation test and correlation analysis. [Result] [Conclusion]The results showed that: (1) the beginning date of ALT tended to be delayed in most areas of Guangxi in recent 45 years, with a greater changing rate in the southern Guangxi than that in the northern; and the yearly ALT days tended to decrease in most areas of Guangxi, with a greater decreasing rate in the southern Guangxi than that in the northern; (2) ALT in Guangxi presented significant periodicity and mutation characteristics, whose mutation occurred in 1998; (3) the beginning date and yearly days of ALT existed quasi-periods of 4 and 8 years, separately; (4) ALT obviously responded to the climate warming. and the beginning date and yearly days of ALT had a significant positive and negative correlation with the mean temperature from September to October, respectively.

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