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中国农学通报 ›› 2011, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (22): 281-285.

所属专题: 园艺 农业气象 农业生态

• 林学 园艺 园林 • 上一篇    下一篇

灰色系统理论在果树产地气象生态适宜性评估中的应用初探

牛侯艳 樊保国 梁立峰 李建国   

  • 收稿日期:2011-03-14 修回日期:2011-04-11 出版日期:2011-09-05 发布日期:2011-09-05

Preliminary Study on Comprehensive Evaluation of the Weather Ecology Suitability in Huaizhi Litchi Production Area with the Gray System Theory

  • Received:2011-03-14 Revised:2011-04-11 Online:2011-09-05 Published:2011-09-05

摘要:

针对果树经济栽培中的适地适栽问题,为使其达到高产、稳产、优质的生产效果而提供理论参考。笔者应用灰色关联分析法,以广东省从化等7个县(市)淮枝荔枝主要产地连续20年(1961—1982年)的产量资料和相应年份的气象资料为材料,对淮枝荔枝产地气象生态适宜性进行评估。结果表明,与“理想产地”气象生态条件相似的产地排列顺序为:从化>惠东>花县>罗定>深圳>斗门>惠来,从化淮枝荔枝产地与“理想产地”最为接近(r1=0.9418),最适宜栽培淮枝荔枝。灰色关联度分析可以定量地评估淮枝荔枝产地气象生态适宜性,其结果与各产地的实际一致。为客观评价荔枝产地气象生态适宜性、进行适地适栽提供了一种计算简单、结果直观、准确可靠的分析方法。

关键词: “三农”问题, “三农”问题, 新农村信息化, 农业信息化, 农村信息化

Abstract:

To match site with trees in orcharding, it could offer the theoretical reference in order to gain high yield, stable yield and top quality in production. Based on the output materials in the continuous 20 years (1961-1982) and the weather materials in the relate years from the major Huaizhi litchi fields of Conghua and 6 other counties in Guangdong Province, the feasibility of the application of the relational grade analysis of Grey System Theory to the weather ecology suitableness of 7 Huaizhi litchi fields, including Conghua County was evaluated. The results showed that the order of the weather ecology conditions were similar to ‘ideal state’ was: Conghua>Huidong>Huaxian>Luoding>Shenzhen>Doumen>Huilai, Conghua (r1=0.9418) was most closed to the ‘ideal state’ and the most suitable growing area, the grey relational grade analysis could estimate the weather ecology suitableness of each Huaizhi litchi field quantitatively, and the conclusion was corresponding with the fact of each field. It provided a kind of analysis method which was easy-calculating, direct-seeing and exact and reliable for objectively evaluating the weather ecology suitableness of Litchi field and growing the right plants in the right places.

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