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中国农学通报 ›› 2012, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (35): 144-147.

所属专题: 现代农业发展与乡村振兴

• 三农问题研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于统计数据的中国农产品物流与农业增长的关系研究

田雯 吕建军   

  • 收稿日期:2012-06-08 修回日期:2012-07-11 出版日期:2012-12-15 发布日期:2012-12-15

Research on the Relationship Between Chinese Agricultural Logistics and Agricultural Growth Based on the Statistical Data

  • Received:2012-06-08 Revised:2012-07-11 Online:2012-12-15 Published:2012-12-15

摘要:

以农产品物流与农业增长统计数据为研究对象,对农产品物流与农业增长间的相关关系以及长短期关系进行研究,旨在探究和评价中国农产品物流发展与农业增长的现状、存在的问题,并提出相应的改进建议和对策,为相关领域的研究打好理论基础。笔者认为,农产品物流总额的增长与农业GDP增长存在着强相关关系、长期平衡关系和短期波动关系。

关键词: 性状, 性状

Abstract:

Using statistical data of farm produce logistics and agricultural growth, this paper mainly researched into the correlativity, short and long relationship between the two variables. Furthermore, as an important theoretical foundation in relevant field, the paper aimed to explore and evaluate the present situation of farm produce logistics and agricultural development, and puts forward some suggestions and countermeasures. The conclusions of the research were: (1) the growth of farm produce logistics and the growth of agricultural GDP had a strong correlativity. (2) the growth of farm produce logistics and the growth of agricultural GDP had a long balance relationship. (3) the short-term changes of agricultural GDP are effected by two sides: the total amount of agricultural product logistics changes and the deviation that last period agricultural GDP from the long-term equilibrium.