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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2014, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (11): 116-120.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2013-2409

所属专题： 烟草种植与生产

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

烟农种植意愿的实证分析——基于恩施山区烟农的调查数据

刘月华 王竹青 刘焰 杨磊   

  • 收稿日期:2013-09-09 修回日期:2013-10-10 出版日期:2014-04-15 发布日期:2014-04-15
  • 基金资助:
    湖北省恩施州烟草公司 “全州千户烟农调查”

Factors Influencing Growers’Willingness to Grow Tobacco——A Case Study from Enshi Mountainous Area, Hubei Province

  • Received:2013-09-09 Revised:2013-10-10 Online:2014-04-15 Published:2014-04-15

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摘要： 基于2012年对湖北恩施山区123户烟农的调查问卷，运用Logit模型对烟农种烟意愿影响因素进行计量分析。结果表明：烟叶种植年限和对收购政策的满意度这2种因素对种植意愿有正影响，而户主年龄、性别、文化水平、种烟成本、种烟收入等因素对种植意愿的影响不明显。这种结果的出现，与调查地的山区特点是密不可分的，加强基础设施建设、研发推广适用的配套农机械，是提高山区烟农种植积极性的基础。

关键词: 主成分分析, 主成分分析

Abstract: Analysis of factors influencing growers’ willingness to grow tobacco was conducted using logistic model based on 123 questionnaires from growers of Enshi tobacco growing counties, Hubei province, in 2012. Results showed that tobacco growing history and degree of satisfaction with tobacco buys policy had positive effects on growers’ willingness to grow tobacco. However, growers’ age, gender and education level, tobacco growing input and output showed no influence on growers’ willingness. This was a special result for mountainous area，and we suggest that enhancing infrastructure and spreading agricultural machinery was the basic to improve growers’ willingness.