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中国农学通报 ›› 2010, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (6): 348-354.

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

区域粮食安全度量研究 ——以重庆市万盛区石林镇为例

刘丽丽1,刘金萍1,2,李建国1,关冰1,郭晴晴1   

  • 收稿日期:2009-11-11 修回日期:2009-12-08 出版日期:2010-03-20 发布日期:2010-03-20

Research of Regional Food Security Measure ——A Case of Shilin Town of Wansheng District in Chongqing

  • Received:2009-11-11 Revised:2009-12-08 Online:2010-03-20 Published:2010-03-20

摘要:

随着经济的快速发展,工业化、城镇化的快速推进,粮食安全问题日益突出,对区域粮食安全进行度量研究,进而建立起合理的区域粮食安全度量模型尤为重要。文章基于粮食产量波动系数、最小人均耕地面积、耕地压力指数建立了综合区域粮食安全度量模型,并以重庆市万盛区石林镇为例,进行动态研究及预测,结果表明:石林镇粮食安全系数呈下降趋势,在未来5年内还有恶化的趋势。针对动态分析及预测结果,提出了相应的调控措施。

关键词: 美早, 美早, 无纺布, 品质, 微生态环境

Abstract:

With the rapid development of economy and propulsion of industrialization and urbanization, agriculture problems are becoming increasingly obvious. It becomes particularly important that we take a research of regional food security measure and then establish a rational model of regional food security measure.This paper established a comprehensive model of regional food security measure based on the agricultural production fluctuation coefficient, minimum per capita arable land area, cropland pressure index. Taking Shilin town at Wansheng District of Chongqing as an example, we carried on dynamic research and forecasting in its development level of regional plant production by the model. The results show that the food safety factor in regional plant production of Shilin Town is taking in downward rend and such phenomenon may become even worse in the next five years. So we put forwards the corresponding adjust and control measures based on the dynamic analysis and forecasting results.