欢迎访问《中国农学通报》,

中国农学通报 ›› 2010, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (19): 354-358.

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

1951-2000年山东省高温气象灾害的变化趋势和风险特征分析

胡峰   

  • 收稿日期:2010-04-27 修回日期:2010-06-30 出版日期:2010-10-05 发布日期:2010-10-05

Variation Trend and Risk of High Temperature in Shandong from 1951 to 2000

  • Received:2010-04-27 Revised:2010-06-30 Online:2010-10-05 Published:2010-10-05

摘要:

摘要 利用山东省1951-2000年50年的高温气象资料,选取惠民站、济南站、潍坊站以及兖州站进行分析,发现山东省惠民、济南、潍坊三站1951-2000年平均最高气温年际变化趋势基本呈现先降低后升高的变化特征,在1950年左右,其最高气温的平均值约为19.3℃;在1965年左右,最高气温的平均值将为18.5℃左右;1965-1985年近20年的时间内,最高气温都在18.5℃左右震荡。1985年以后,最高气温开始缓慢回升,到达19.0℃左右。而兖州站的变化特征较为平缓。四站中济南站的高温日数最多,共有约781站,其一级高温、二级高温和三级高温的日数分别为584天、185天和12天,其可能与山东省会热岛效应有关。兖州站的一级高温虽然较多,但二、三级均为最少。高温气象灾害的风险济南站排在首位,风险最大;山东潍坊和山东兖州排序为第二,风险适中,山东惠民站风险略小。

关键词: 猪, 猪, LXRα, RT-PCR, 系统发育分析

Abstract:

Using high temperature data from 1951 to 2000 in Shandong Province, The variation trend of average high temperature in Huimin, Jinan,Weifang and Yanzhou station are analyzed. The results show that, from 1951 to 2000, the variation features of the high temperature in Huimin, Jinan and Weifang decrease first and then increase. The average high temperature is 19.3 ℃ in 1951 and about 18.5 ℃ in 1965. In the 20 years from 1965 to 1985, the average high temperature is vibrating at 18.5℃. After 1985, the high temperature rises again slowly and reaches to 19.0℃. And the variation trend of Yanzhou station is gentle. The high temperature days of Jinan station in the four stations are most and reach at 781 days. And first-grade high temperature days is 584 days, second-grade days are185 days and third-grade days are 12 days. The first-grade high temperature days in Yan zhou station are more than other two grades. As for meteorology disaster risk, the Jinan station rows on top, and is at the highest risk; Weifang and Yanzhou row on second, are at moderate risk; Huimin station rows on third.