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中国农学通报 ›› 2017, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (14): 87-94.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb16110105

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

2015年秋季台风“彩虹”暴雨诊断分析

黄巾旗,王盛繁,梁毅进,陈向东   

  1. 贵港市气象台,贵港市气象台,贵港市气象台,贵港市气象台
  • 收稿日期:2016-11-21 修回日期:2017-03-23 接受日期:2017-03-25 出版日期:2017-05-25 发布日期:2017-05-25
  • 通讯作者: 黄巾旗
  • 基金资助:
    广西科学研究与技术开发计划项目“广西西江黄金水道主要气象灾害监测预警技术研究”(桂科攻14124004-4-9)。

Diagnostic Analysis of Rainstorm Associated with Typhoon“Rainbow”in the Autumn of 2015

  • Received:2016-11-21 Revised:2017-03-23 Accepted:2017-03-25 Online:2017-05-25 Published:2017-05-25

摘要: 为了探讨2015年秋台风“彩虹”造成广西特大暴雨,导致晚稻严重失收的成因,本研究利用区域中尺度自动气象站资料、常规地面站雨量观测资料和NCEP逐6小时客观分析资料(分辨率1°×1°,垂直方向26层),采用天气学诊断分析方法,对“彩虹”台风进行综合分析,结果表明:台风“彩虹”在副高引导下,沿590 dagpm线边缘向西北方向移动,并在近海加强,后期环流形势及地形条件有利台风强降水发生;第一阶段强降水基于台风本体及其不对称性结构,雨量集中在台风东侧急流辐合区内。第二阶段降水基于停编后台风残涡与高空槽、地面辐合线、季风急流和冷空气等相互作用而产生,雨量集中在东部南北向辐合区内;通过改变区域内地形高度设计的一组敏感性实验,研究了大容山和圣堂山两个暴雨中心的地形抬升作用,结果表明地形抬升作用对台风“彩虹”特大暴雨有显著的增幅作用;台风“彩虹”特大暴雨,导致东南部发生严重渍涝,是晚稻严重失收的重要原因。

关键词: 生态足迹, 生态足迹, 生态适度人口, 聊城市

Abstract: The paper aims to investigate the cause of the severe rainstorm caused by typhoon Rainbow in Guangxi in autumn of 2015, resulting in serious loss of the genesis of late rice. Based on the data of regional mesoscale automatic meteorological station, conventional ground station rainfall observation data and NCEP 6-hour objective analysis data (resolution 1 ° × 1 °, vertical direction 26 layers), using the method of synoptic diagnostic analysis, the typhoon Rainbow was comprehensively analyzed. The results showed that: Typhoon Rainbow moved to the northwest along the edge of the 590 dagpm contour under the guidance of the subtropical high, and intensified in the coastal area, and the later circulation and terrain conditions favored typhoon strong precipitation; The first stage of strong rainfall typhoon based on ontology and its asymmetry structure, rainfall concentrated in the east of the typhoon jet convergence region. The second stage of precipitation was based on the interaction of residual vortex and high-altitude trough, ground convergence line, monsoon jet and cold air, and the rainfall concentrated in the east-south convergence region; The results showed that the uplifting effect of the topographic effect on the typhoon Rainbow had a significant effect on the growth of the two torrential rain centers in Daer-shan and Shitang - shan by changing a set of sensitivity experiments designed in the area. Typhoon Rainbow heavy rain caused serious waterlogging in the southeast, was an important reason for serious loss of late rice.