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中国农学通报 ›› 2019, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (17): 81-89.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb18110102

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

羊毛湾水库流域气温和降水变化特征分析

周德宏, 王英, 赵奕兵, 胡国玲   

  1. 咸阳市气象局
  • 收稿日期:2018-11-23 修回日期:2019-05-20 接受日期:2018-12-24 出版日期:2019-06-25 发布日期:2019-06-25
  • 通讯作者: 王英
  • 基金资助:
    咸阳市羊毛湾水库流域雨水情预警系统项目(ymwskly2018-01)。

Analysis of the characteristics of temperature and precipitation in the basin of Yangmaowan reservoir

  • Received:2018-11-23 Revised:2019-05-20 Accepted:2018-12-24 Online:2019-06-25 Published:2019-06-25

摘要: 本文旨在通过对羊毛湾水库流域的气候变化特征进行研究,深入了解水库流域气候的长期演变规律,为水库后期建设规划、运营管理及水库的水源预报提供一定的理论基础和参考意义。利用流域内气象站1960—2017年气候资料,采用统计、距平分析及Morlet小波分析等,对水库流域近58年来气温及降水时间序列的季节变化和年际变化进行多尺度分析。结果表明:水库流域年平均气温以0.24℃/10a的倾向率呈上升趋势,尤其是10年代以来气温升高趋势最为显著;年降水量以1.6mm/10a的倾向率呈弱下降趋势,但夏季和冬季呈弱增加趋势;气温的小波分析表明流域内平均气温存在4年、10年、20年的变化周期,其中20年的强显著周期。降水存在4年、8年、22年的变化周期,强显著周期为22年;通过小波变换系数图可知,流域未来几年内气温仍呈现偏高趋势,降水则呈偏少趋势发展。

关键词: 农村居民点, 农村居民点, 空间变化特征, 景观格局

Abstract: This paper aims to provide a theoretical basis and reference significance for the reservoir construction planning, operation management and reservoir water source prediction by studying the climate change characteristics of the YangMaowan Reservoir basin.Using the climatic data of the meteorological station in the basin from 1960 to 2017,the seasonal and interannual variations of temperature and precipitation time series in the reservoir basin over the past 58 years was analyzed by the method of statistics, anomaly analysis and Morlet wavelet analysis.The results showed that the annual average temperature of the reservoir basin was increasing at the tendency of 0.24°C every 10 years, especially the temperature increasing trend was the most significant since 2010. The annual precipitation had a weak downward trend with the tendency of 1.6mm every 10 years, but summer and winter was weakly increasing. The wavelet analysis of the temperature showed that the average temperature in the basin had the change cycles of 4 years, 10 years and 20 years, of which the strong significant period was 20 years . Precipitation had the change cycles of 4 years, 8 years and 22 years, and the period of strong significant period was 22 years. It could be seen by the wavelet transform coefficient map that the temperature of the basin would still show the high trend in the next few years, and the precipitation would be the trend of less.