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中国农学通报 ›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (15): 18-24.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb15100060

所属专题: 小麦

• 农学 农业基础科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

冬小麦结实率估算模型

文廷刚,陈昱利,杜小凤,杨 平,王伟中,曹宏鑫   

  1. 江苏徐淮地区淮阴农业科学研究所,淄博市农业科学研究院,江苏徐淮地区淮阴农业科学研究所,淄博市农业科学研究院,江苏徐淮地区淮阴农业科学研究所,江苏省农业科学院农业经济与信息研究所 数字农业工程技术研究中心
  • 收稿日期:2015-10-15 修回日期:2016-04-26 接受日期:2015-11-24 出版日期:2016-06-01 发布日期:2016-06-01
  • 通讯作者: 王伟中
  • 基金资助:
    国家小麦产业技术体系项目“国家现代农业产业技术体系苏中综合试验站”(CARS-3-2-13);公益性行业(农业)科研专项“粮食作物抗灾群体优化与定向减灾技术研究与示范”(201203033-07);江苏省农业三项工程“稻麦增产抗倒科技创新集成与示范”[SXGC(2013)341];国家高技术研究发展计划子课题“小麦虚拟设计与可视化技术”(2013AA102305-1)。

Model for Estimating Seed-setting Rate of Winter Wheat

  • Received:2015-10-15 Revised:2016-04-26 Accepted:2015-11-24 Online:2016-06-01 Published:2016-06-01

摘要: 为了定量分析冬小麦开花结实规律,本研究以‘济麦22’、‘泰农18’和‘鲁原502’为材料,于2013—2014 年冬小麦生长季内开展了品种与施氮试验。通过分析不同穗型冬小麦可育小花数、开花量及开花结实率之间的内在关系,以及单穗日开花量和日开花结实率与花后GDD之间的定量关系,构建了冬小麦结实率估算模型。经独立试验资料检验,冬小麦结实率(SR)实测值与模拟值的RMSE、da和R2分别为1.092%,0.934%和0.617。其中,r=0.785 (r0.05,7=0.666),达P<0.05 显著水平。说明实测值与模拟值的吻合程度较好。所建模型可较好地模拟不同穗型品种冬小麦的开花结实率。

关键词: 盾叶薯蓣, 盾叶薯蓣, 种质资源, 比较

Abstract: In order to quantitatively analysis the laws of flowering and seed-setting for winter wheat, [Method]the field experiment of varieties and nitrogen was carried out in 2013-2014 growth reason for winter wheat. “Jimai 22”, “Tainong 18”, and “Luyuan 502” were used as the experiment material in the study. A model of estimating seed-setting rate for winter wheat was built by analyzing the relationship among the fertile florets, flowering number and seed-set at pre-overwintering, and the relationship between the average single daily flower number and the single daily seed-setting rate for single spike and the growth degree days after anthesis. [Result]The model was validated by using independent experiment dataset. The result showed that root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (da) and the determined coefficient (R2) between simulated and measured values of seed-setting rate were 1.092% (n=9), 0.934%, and 0.617, respectively; the correlation between observation and simulation in the geometrical parameter were significant at P<0.05, and the simulated values agreed well with the measured ones. [Conclusion]It indicated that the winter wheat seed setting rate could be well simulated by these models.

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