农户模型中生产专业化的动态分析

doi:10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb16080086

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 在农业领域，明确的产业分工依然没有出现，农户为主的生产模式依然占主要地位。为研究农业生产的农户生产模式，运用动态分析的方法，从生产的角度对于农业生产进行分析。笔者将生产主体分为劳动密集型与资本密集型的农户，这样就实现了全面的专业化分工，并运用最优控制理论与Bellman 方程分析专业化生产下的农户的最优增长路径，分析农户在动态生产过程中的选择行为。同时，从要素供给的角度分析农户生产模式无法专业化的原因。基于上述分析，认为农户的专业化生产是实现资源最优配置的最优路径，而专业化生产的失业风险，是导致农户无法成为劳动与资本2 种要素生产者的主要限制因素。

关键词: 向日葵, 向日葵, 发育期, 积温, 日照时数, 降水量

Abstract: In agriculture, well-defined labor division has not been constructed, and farmers still dominate as the mainstay in production. In order to study the mode of farmer household production, this paper used dynamic analysis methods from a production point of view. Firstly, farmers’production would be divided into labor- intensive and capital- intensive of farmers, and hence specialized division could be achieved. The optimal control theory and Bellman equation were adopted to analyze the optimal growth path under specialized production, the selection behavior of farmers in dynamic production process, and the reasons why the mode of farmers household production could not be specialized from the angle of factor supplying. It concluded that the farmers’specialized production was the optimal path to realize the optimal resource allocation. And unemployment risk of specialized production was the main limited factor leading to the outcome that farmers were unable to come to the specialization of producer in the two factors as labor and capital.

霍鹏,朱烈夫,胡可嘉,崔海兴. 农户模型中生产专业化的动态分析[J]. 中国农学通报, 2017, 33(12): 153-158.

胡可嘉 and . Dynamic Analysis of Farmer Household Model Production Specialization[J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2017, 33(12): 153-158.

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