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中国农学通报 ›› 2015, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (21): 167-176.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb15010188

所属专题: 资源与环境 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

江苏近35a空中水汽资源气候特征及开发潜力分析

王 佳,陈钰文   

  1. 江苏省气候中心,江苏省气候中心
  • 收稿日期:2015-01-26 修回日期:2015-04-14 接受日期:2015-04-24 出版日期:2015-07-28 发布日期:2015-07-28
  • 通讯作者: 王 佳
  • 基金资助:
    国家973计划项目(2012CB955204);国家公益性行业科研专项 (GYHY201306050);江苏气象科研基金(Q201516、KM201403、KM201107、Q201205)。

Analysis on Climatic Characteristics of Water Vapor Resource and its Exploitation Potential in Jiang Su Province in the Past 35 years

  • Received:2015-01-26 Revised:2015-04-14 Accepted:2015-04-24 Online:2015-07-28 Published:2015-07-28

摘要: 研究旨在精细化分析江苏空中水汽资源气候特征与开发潜力。笔者应用高分辨率再分析资料,计算资源总量及降水效率,给出空间分布、季节变化、长期变化趋势与模态。结果表明:江苏上空水汽资源(Q)达9223mm,降水效率(P)仅11.4%,近35年减少量约3mm/a,异常主要表现为一致偏多或偏少、南北反相2类空间型。Q与P均呈南多北少的纬向分布,其中淮北Q、P最低,且秋、冬季P持续下降,环太湖与沿海Q、P在春、夏、秋3季均呈下降趋势,宁镇扬Q、P在春、秋季也呈下降趋势。春季Q减少量最大,达4.4mm/a,P南多北少的差异最大达18%,秋季P最低,仅8.4%。可见,江苏空中水汽资源开发潜力巨大,需加强春、秋季开发力度,以及冬季以淮北、夏季以环太湖与沿海为重点区的开发力度。

关键词: 农业科技创新能力评价, 农业科技创新能力评价, 综合评价指数法, 兰州市

Abstract: In order to do fine analysis on climatic characteristics of water vapor resource and its exploitation potential in Jiangsu Province, the EAR-Interim high resolution reanalysis data was applied to calculate the total amount of water vapor resource and its precipitation percentage, presentations of spatial distribution, seasonal variation characteristics, climate change trend and modes. The results showed that: the amount of water vapor resource (Q) in Jiangsu was 9223 mm in annual average and its precipitation percentage (P) was 11.4%. The resource (Q) exhibited a declining trend of 3 mm/a and had two typical anomaly patterns in the past 35 years. The first pattern was a high spatial consistency of anomalies, while the second pattern showed an anti-phase relation of variation in the northern and southern regions. Q and P exhibited the distribution of south more and north less. In North Huai River, Q and P was the lowest, and the trend of P declined in autumn and winter. Around Tai Hu Lake and the coastal region, Q and P both declined in spring, autumn and winter. In Ning-Zhen-Yang Region, the declining trends of Q and P appeared in spring and autumn. In spring, the declining trend of Q was the maximum with 4.4 mm/a, and the characteristic of south more and north less was the most significant with the maximum of 18%. In autumn, P was the minimum, only 8.4%. It is concluded that the exploitation potential of the water vapor resource in Jiangsu is tremendous. The intensity of the exploitation must be increased in spring and autumn, winter around the key region of North Huai River and summer around Tai Hu Lake and the coastal region.