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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (18): 149-157.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb15110155

所属专题： 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

关中-天水经济区气候变化特征分析

何 佳1,薛亚永2,周 旗1,雷春苗1   

  1. (1宝鸡文理学院/陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟重点实验室,陕西宝鸡 721013；2长安大学地球科学与资源学院,西安 710054）
  • 收稿日期:2015-11-30 修回日期:2015-12-21 接受日期:2015-12-24 出版日期:2016-06-28 发布日期:2016-06-28
  • 通讯作者: 周 旗
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“基于公众人地关和风险感知的全球变化适应研究”(41071359)；陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟重点实验室项目“陕西省河谷型城市水环境灾害脆弱性研究”(15JS009)。

Climate Change Characteristics of Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Region

He Jia1, Xue Yayong2, Zhou Qi1, Lei Chunmiao1   

  1. (1Key Laboratory of Disaster Monitoring and Mechanism Simulating of Shaanxi Province, Baoji University of Arts and Sciences, Baoji Shaanxi 721013; 2Department of Resources Science, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710054)
  • Received:2015-11-30 Revised:2015-12-21 Accepted:2015-12-24 Online:2016-06-28 Published:2016-06-28

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摘要： 为正确认识关中-天水经济区气候变化特征，以1960—2014年研究区所辖的七市一区气象站点逐日气温和降水量实测值为基础，综合运用气候倾向率、累积距平法、Morlet小波函数、Mann-Kendall非参数检验法，并结合滑动t检验、Yamamoto分析对其气候变化特征进行诊断分析。研究结果表明：关天经济区近55年来，年平均气温、年平均最高气温、年平均最低气温及降水强度均有上升趋势，年降水量、降水日数呈下降趋势。20世纪90年代是气候变化的转折点，降水量、年平均气温较其它年代增幅明显。降水量存在准6、14、22、32年周期；降水强度存在准6、10、22、27、32年周期，年平均气温存在准28、22年尺度的变化周期。降水要素仅存在弱突变，气温要素呈现相对较强突变。研究区气候整体态势偏向暖湿化趋势发展。

关键词: 新疆褐牛, 新疆褐牛, 遗传参数, 遗传力

Abstract: In order to study the climate change characteristics of Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region, based on the daily air temperature and precipitation observation data of this region from seven cities and one district during 1960 to 2014, the climate change characteristics were analyzed by the method of climate tendency rate, accumulative anomalies, Morlet wavelet function, Mann-Kendall nonparametric test method, moving t-test and Yamamoto analysis. The results showed that the annual average temperature, annual mean maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation intensity increased in recent 55 years in Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region, the annual precipitation and precipitation days reduced. The 1990s was the turning point of climate change, the increasing rates of precipitation and the annual mean temperature were significantly higher than that of other times. The precipitation amount showed a periodic change trend of 6, 14, 22 and 32 years, the precipitation intensity showed a periodic change trend of 6, 10, 22, 27 and 32 years, and the annual mean temperature showed a periodic change trend of 28 and 22 years. The mutation of precipitation was weak and that of temperature was relatively strong. The warmer and wetter climatic changing was the major trend in Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region.

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