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中国农学通报 ›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (20): 126-132.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb16040079

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

山西多次暴雨过程微物理方案敏感性试验

申李文,赵海英,王思慜   

  1. (山西省气象台,太原 030006)
  • 收稿日期:2016-04-13 修回日期:2016-06-27 接受日期:2016-05-23 出版日期:2016-07-15 发布日期:2016-07-15
  • 通讯作者: 申李文
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局预报员专项“数值预报对山西几次切变线强降水天气的预报性能分析研究”(CMAYBY2016-012);气象关键技术集成与应用面上项目“沙尘数值模式预报产品释用技术研究”(CMAGJ2015M09)。

Microphysical Schemes Sensitivity Tests for Several Heavy Rainfall Weather Processes in Shanxi

Shen Liwen, Zhao Haiying, Wang Simin   

  1. (Shanxi Meteorological Observatory, Taiyuan 030006)
  • Received:2016-04-13 Revised:2016-06-27 Accepted:2016-05-23 Online:2016-07-15 Published:2016-07-15

摘要: 为了能够使中尺度数值模式更精确预报暴雨天气过程,为提高暴雨短期预报业务能力,利用常规地面和高空观测资料和NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料,对2011年山西汛期的5次暴雨个例分别进行分析和多次数值模拟试验研究。结果表明:2011年山西5次暴雨过程形势各异,总体看来分为2种类型:冷云降水和暖云降水。冷云降水微物理参数化方案采用WSM6方案和Thompson方案模拟效果较好;暖云降水微物理参数化方案采用Kessler暖雨方案模拟效果较好。

关键词: 楚雄州, 楚雄州, 季风气候, 野生食用菌, 主成分分析, 干燥度, IDW插值

Abstract: In order to forecast the heavy rainfall weather processes by using the mesoscale numerical weather prediction system more precisely, and improve the short-term forecast capacity of the heavy rainfall weather process, the authors used the conventional high and surface meteorological data and NCEP reanalysis data, analyzed 5 heavy rainfall weather processes in the flood season in 2011 in Shanxi and conducted the simulated test for several times. The results showed that: 5 heavy rainfall weather processes in the flood season in 2011 had different circumstances, which were divided into 2 types: cold cloud precipitation and warm cloud precipitation; as far as the microphysical schemes was concerned, the simulation result of cold cloud precipitation using the WSM6 and Thompson scheme was more precise, and the simulation result of warm cloud precipitation using the Kessler warm rain scheme was more precise.

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