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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2025, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (36): 142-148.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2025-0316

• 植物保护·农药 • 上一篇    下一篇

内蒙古东北部大豆食心虫发生气候风险区划研究

王彦平1(), 王雅莹1, 王志春2(), 曲学斌1   

  1. 1 内蒙古呼伦贝尔市气象局， 内蒙古海拉尔 021008
    2 内蒙古赤峰市气象局， 内蒙古松山区 024005
  • 收稿日期:2025-04-21 修回日期:2025-11-18 出版日期:2025-12-25 发布日期:2025-12-25
  • 通讯作者:
    王志春，男，1974年出生，内蒙古赤峰人，正高级工程师，硕士研究生，主要从事农业气象、气候变化、气候资源与区划、生态等方面的研究。通信地址：024000 赤峰市松山区兴安街道赤峰市农牧科技产业园气象预警减灾综合楼，Tel：0476-8333987，E-mail：。
  • 作者简介:

    王彦平，女，1974年出生，正高级工程师，硕士研究生，研究方向：生态与农业气象。通信地址：021008 内蒙古呼伦贝尔市海拉尔区根河路108号 呼伦贝尔市气象局，Tel：0471-8244470，E-mail：。

  • 基金资助:
    内蒙古自治区气象局软科学项目“内蒙古特色农业气象服务中心创新发展之路初探——以“大豆特色农业气象服务中心”为例”(NMGQXRKX2025-01007); 内蒙古自治区气象局科技创新项目“大豆食心虫、菌核病风险区划方法及应用研究”(nmqxkjcx202508); 中国气象局能力提升联合研究专项重点项目“内蒙古大豆霜冻灾害风险精细化动态预警技术及示范应用”(24NLTSZ008)

Climatic Risk Zoning of Soybean Pod Borer Occurrence in Northeastern Inner Mongolia

WANG Yanping1(), WANG Yaying1, WANG Zhichun2(), QU Xuebin1   

  1. 1 Hulunbuir Meteorological Office, Hailar, Inner Mongolia 021008
    2 Chifeng Meteorological Office, Songshan, Inner Mongolia 024005
  • Received:2025-04-21 Revised:2025-11-18 Published:2025-12-25 Online:2025-12-25

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摘要：

本研究旨在提升大豆病虫害预警和防控的精准性，指导生产布局优化。基于2008—2022年呼伦贝尔市的气象观测资料和大豆食心虫发生面积和调查资料，采用气候适宜性指数评价方法，计算了该区域近15 a逐年大豆食心虫适宜性指数，建立了食心虫气候适宜性评价等级。利用GIS技术，完成了呼伦贝尔市大豆食心虫发生气候风险区划。研究结果表明，气候适宜性指数可划分为四个等级：F>2.0为极高发生区，1.5<F≤2.0为高发生区，1.0<F<1.5为中发生区，F≤1.0为低发生区。呼伦贝尔市大豆食心虫主要发生于大兴安岭东南麓和西麓地区，以高风险和中风险区为主，大兴安岭山地和北部林区发生风险低，未发现极高风险区。建议高风险区要加强生物防治和化学防治措施，降低病虫害发生率，促进全市大豆产业可持续发展。

关键词: 内蒙古东北部, 大豆食心虫, 气象指标, 气候发生风险, 等级划分, 区划研究, 分区评述

Abstract:

To enable efficient and accurate prediction and control of soybean pests and diseases, guide soybean production, and optimize industrial layout, this study utilized meteorological observation data and soybean pod borer occurrence area data (2008-2022) of Hulunbuir City. By applying a climatic suitability index evaluation method, the annual suitability indices for soybean pod borer occurrence over the past 15 years were calculated. A climatic suitability evaluation grading system for the pod borer was established, and GIS-based climatic risk zoning of soybean pod borer occurrence in Hulunbuir City was conducted. The results indicate that climatic suitability indices (F) can be categorized as follows: F> 2.0 indicates an extremely high occurrence area; 1.5 < F≤2.0, a high occurrence area; 1.0 <F≤1.5, a moderate occurrence area; and F≤1.0, a low occurrence area. In northeastern Inner Mongolia, soybean pod borer occurrences are primarily distributed in the southeastern and western foothills of the Greater Khingan Mountains, predominantly categorized as high- and moderate-risk zones. The ridge and northern forested areas of the Greater Khingan Mountains exhibit low occurrence risk, with no extremely high-risk zones identified across the city. High-risk areas require increased investment in biological and chemical control measures to minimize major pest outbreaks and promote sustainable soybean production in the region.

Key words: northeastern Inner Mongolia, soybean pod borer, meteorological indicators, climate risk, classification, zoning research, regional assessment