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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2015, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (11): 109-113.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb14120108

所属专题： 水产渔业

• 水产 渔业 • 上一篇    下一篇

渔业贷款对渔业经济发展的影响——基于VAR模型的实证分析

林飞   

  1. 上海海洋大学
  • 收稿日期:2014-12-16 修回日期:2015-01-23 接受日期:2015-01-29 出版日期:2015-05-06 发布日期:2015-05-06
  • 通讯作者: 林飞
  • 基金资助:
    上海市教委创新基金“教学改革研究”(A-2600-12-0010)

Effect of fishery loans on fishery economic development —Based on VAR model

  • Received:2014-12-16 Revised:2015-01-23 Accepted:2015-01-29 Online:2015-05-06 Published:2015-05-06

PDF (PC)

432

摘要： 为了更好的发展我国渔业经济，促进渔业经济健康可持续发展，解决渔业贷款问题是尤为重要的一方面。基于VAR模型，利用2004—2013年间关于渔业贷款及渔业经济的数据，对它们的相关性进行实证分析。Grange因果关系检验的结果表明中国渔业贷款与渔业经济增长之间非因果关系的Grange原因，渔业贷款对渔业经济增长并没有起到供给支持作用。因此，促进渔业贷款的投入以及制定合理化的渔业贷款政策，成为推进中国渔业经济的可持续发展的必然选择。

关键词: 日光温室, 日光温室, 小气候差异, 不同年型

Abstract: In order to better development of the fisheries economy, promote the healthy and sustainable development of fishery economy, solve the problem of fishery loans is a particularly important.Based on vector auto-regression model(VAR), this paper makes an empirical research on the relevance between fishery loans and fishery economic growth with Chinese data from 2004 to 2013. The results of Grange Causality Test show fishery financial development and fishery economic growth are not grange causes for each other.Fishery loans on economic growth did not play a supporting role.Therefore, to promote the fishery loans input and make reasonable fishery loan policy has become the inevitable choice to promote the sustainable development of fishery economic in China.