[1]Meehl GA, Tebaldi C. More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century[J]. Science, 2004, 305:994-997. [2]IPCC. Climate Change 2013: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disaster to Advance Climate Change Adaptation[M]//Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013. [3]Cheng, CS, Auld H, Li Q, et al. Possible impacts of climate change on extreme weather events at local scale in south-central Canada[J]. Climatic Change, 2012, 112: 963-979. [4]Ly Mouhamed, Seydou B. Traore, Agali Alhassane, et al. Evolution of some observed climate extremes in the West African Sahel[J]. Weather and Climate Extremes, 2013, 1:19-25. [5]翟盘茂, 潘晓华. 中国北方近 50 年温度和降水极端事件变化[J]. 地理学报, 2003, 58(9): 1-10. [6]王鹏祥, 金虎. 中国西北近45a来极端高温事件及其对区域性增暖的响应[J]. 中国沙漠, 2007, 27(4): 649-655. [7]Manton, M.J., Della-Marta, P.M., Haylock, M.R., et al. Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature in southeast Asia and the South Pacific:1916-1998[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2001, 21: 269-284. [8]杜军, 路红亚, 建军. 1961-2010年西藏极端气温事件的时空变化[J]. 地理学报, 2013, 68(9): 1269-1280. [9]王琼, 张明军, 王圣杰,等. 1962-2011 年长江流域极端气温事件分析[J]. 地理学报, 2013, 68(5): 611-625. [10]Easterling D R, Horton B. Recent trends in maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe[J]. Science, 1997, 277: 364-367. [11]Boccolari, M., Malmusi, S.. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes observed in Modena, Italy[J]. Atmospheric Research, 2013, 122: 16-31. [12]Abiodun BJ, Salami AT, Matthew OJ, et al. Potential impacts of afforestation on climate change and extreme events in Nigeria[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2013, 41: 277-293. [13]Deng, H.J., Chen, Y.N., Shi, X., et al. Dynamics of temperature and precipitation extremes and their spatial variation in the arid region of northwest China[J]. Atmospheric Research, 2014, 138:346-355. [14]郎咸梅, 隋月. 全球变暖2℃情景下中国平均气候和极端气候事件变化预估[J]. 科学通报, 2013, 58(8): 734-742. [15]徐集云, 石英, 高学杰. RegCM3对中国21世纪极端气候事件变化的高分辨率模拟[J]. 科学通报, 2013, 58(8): 724-733. [16]Lee, Y., Yoon, S., Murshed, Md.S., et al. Spatial Modeling of the Highest Daily Maximum Temperature in Korea via Max-stable Processes[J]. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2013, 30(6): 1608-1620. [17]Rao Koteswara K., Patwardhan S.K., Kulkarni A., et al. Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation indices over India using PRECIS[J]. Global and Planetary Change, 2014, 113: 77-90. [18]Ding, Y.H., Ren, G.Y., Zhao, Z.C., et al. Detection, causes and projection of climate change over China: an overview of recent progress[J]. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2007, 24(6):954-971. [19]王晓娟, 沈柏竹, 龚志强,等. 中国冬季区域性极端低温事件分类及其与气候指数极端性的联系[J]. 物理学报, 2013, 62(22): 229201. [20]龚志强, 王晓娟, 支蓉,等. 中国近58年温度极端事件的区域特征及其与气候突变的联系[J]. 物理学报, 2009, 58(6): 4342-4352. [21]汪宝龙, 张明军, 魏军林,等. 西北地区近50a气温和降水极端事件的变化特征[J]. 自然 资源学报, 2012, 27(10): 1721-1730. [22]张延伟, 李红忠, 魏文涛,等. 1961~2010年北疆地区极端气候事件变化[J]. 中国沙漠, 2013, 33(6): 1-6. [23]李青春, 曹晓彦, 郑祚芳,等. 极端气温对城市人群死亡的影响评估[J]. 灾害学, 2006, 21(1): 14-17. [24]García-Herrera, R., Díaz, J., Trigo, R.M., et al. Extreme summer temperatures in Iberia: health impacts and associated synoptic conditions[J]. Annales Geophysicae, 2005, 23: 239-251. [25]任朝霞, 杨达源. 近50a西北干旱区气候变化对农业的影响[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2007, 21(8): 48-52. [26]孙凤华, 袁健, 关颖. 东北地区最高、最低温度非对称变化的季节演变特征[J]. 地理科学, 2008, 28(4): 532-535. [27]Domonkos, P., Kysely, J., Piotrowicz, K., et al. Variability of extreme temperature events in South-Central Europe during the 20th century and its relationship with large-scale circulation[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2003, 23: 987-1010. [28]马丽君, 孙根年, 马耀峰,等. 极端天气气候事件对旅游业的影响—以2008年雪灾为例[J]. 资源科学, 2010, 32(1): 107-111. [29]魏凤英. 现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 1999. [30]任福民, 翟盘茂. 1951~1990 年中国极端气温变化分析[J]. 大气科学, 1998, 22(2): 217~227. [31]El Kenawy, A., López-Moreno, I., Vicente-Serrano, S.M.. Trend and variability of temperature in northeastern Spain (1920-2006): linkage to atmospheric circulation[J]. Atmospheric Research, 2011, 106: 159-180. [32]游庆龙, 康世昌, 闫宇平,等. 近45年雅鲁藏布江流域极端气候事件趋势分析[J]. 地理学报, 2009, 64(5): 593-600. [33]Chen, Y.N., Deng, H.J., Li, B.F., et al. Abrupt change of temperature and precipitation extremes in the arid region of Northwest China[J]. Quaternary International(2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2013.12.057. [34]贾文雄. 近50年来祁连山及河西走廊极端气温的季节变化特征[J]. 地理科学, 2012, 32(11): 1377-1383. [35]刘实, 隋波, 涂钢,等. 我国东北地区冬季气温变化的东亚冬季风背景[J]. 应用气象学 报, 2014, 25(1): 11-21. [36]Li, B.F., Chen, Y.N., Shi, X.. Why does the temperature rise faster in the arid region of northwest China?[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 2012, 117. [37]王会军, 贺圣平. 我国东北冬季降雪的年代际增多及其与冬季风减弱的关系[J]. 科学通报, 2013, 58(8): 629~633. [38]Brunet, M., Jones, P.D., Sigró, J.. Temporal and spatial temperature variability and change over Spain during 1850-2005[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 2007, 112, D12117. [39]Ramos, A.M., Trigo, R.M., Santo, F.E.. Evolution of extreme temperatures over Portugal: recent changes and future scenarios[J]. Climate Research, 2011, 48: 177-192. [40]钱忠华, 侯威, 杨萍,等. 最概然温度背景下不同气候态中国夏冬季极端温度事件时空分布特征[J]. 物理学报, 2011, 60(10): 109204. [41]黄俊利. 塔里木盆地及周边地区极端气候变化研究[D]. 乌鲁木齐: 新疆师范大学地理科学与旅游学院, 2012, 31-32. [42]Jacobeit, J., Wanner, H., Luterbacher, J., et al. Atmospheric circulation variability in the North Atlantic-European area since the mid-seventeenth century[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2003, 20: 341-352. [43]Fernández-Montes, S., Rodrigo, F.S., Seubert, S., et al. Spring and summer extreme temperatures in Iberia during last century in relation to circulation types[J]. Atmospheric Research, 2013, 127: 154-177. [44]You Q L, Kang S C, Aguilar E et al. Changes in daily climate extremes in China and their connection to the large scale atmospheric circulation during 1961-2003[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2011, 36(11/12): 2399-2417.
|