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Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin ›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (6): 182-192.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb15090025

Special Issue: 水稻

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Regionalization and Epidemic Regularity of Rice Blast in Nanchong City

Peng Changjia1, Bai Tikun1, Ding Pan1, Feng Libin1, Guo Jianquan2, Yang Yuheng3, Yin Huaizhong4,Long Weiguo5, Wen Xu6, Xiao Li7, Cui Demin8, Gou Jianhua9, Li Hongtao9, He Haiyan10, Zheng Yan5   

  1. (1Plant Protection and Quarantine Station of Nanchong City, Nanchong Sichuan 637000; 2Plant Protection and Quarantine Station of Yingshan County, Yingshan Sichuan 638100;3College of Plant Protection, Southwestern University, Chongqing 400715;4Plant Protection and Quarantine Station of Gaoping District in Nanchong City, Nanchong Sichuan 637100;5Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station of Yilong County, Yilong Sichuan 637641;6Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station of Xichong County, Xichong Sichuan 637200;7Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station of Jialing District in Nanchong City, Nanchong Sichuan 637005;8Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station of Pengan County, Pengan Sichuan 637800;9Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station of Langzhong City, Langzhong Sichuan 637400;10Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station of Nanbu County, Nanbu Sichuan 637300)
  • Received:2015-09-08 Revised:2016-01-25 Accepted:2015-11-25 Online:2016-03-07 Published:2016-03-07

Abstract: In order to improve the level of monitoring, early warning and comprehensive control of rice blast in Nanchong City, and reduce the harm of rice blast, the methods of GPS and GIS location, systematical monitoring and survey, rice blast resistance variety identification, physiologic variety monitoring and weather data analysis were adopted to study the regionalization, accurate boundary settlement and occurrence and epidemic regularity of the disease. In this study, regionalization and boundary settlement were analyzed for the first time, the primary infection location, occurrence characteristics, trends and characteristics of the disease were verified. There were four epidemic peak periods and the damage areas of the first peak period played a decisive role, the accumulated occurrence area at the end of May was positively correlated with the year occurrence area, and the correlation coefficient was 0.8172. A prediction model of occurrence area based on the disease field rate at the end of boot stage and the disease plant rate at dough stage was established. Through investigation of the causes of blast disease in Nanchong in recent years, the authors found that the internal causes were the decrease or lose of rice blast resistance, the increase of high pathogenicity physiological race and the appearing of stronger pathogenicity physiological race, the external causes were suitable temperature and more overcast and rain and less sunlight. During 2010 to 2015, the short-term forecast accuracy for rice blast in Nanchong was up to 100%, medium-term and long-term forecast accuracy were also up to 98% and 95%, respectively, which increased by 5-15 percentage points compared with that before 1997, thus increased the control effect of rice blast in Nanchong by15%-30%.

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