Rapid Strengthening of Typhoon “Parma” in Beibu Gulf

doi:10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb15120037

Abstract

Abstract: The paper aims to find out the major influencing factors of environmental field, which cause a rapid strengthening of typhoon in Beibu gulf, thus to accumulate forecast experience for such type of typhoon. The environmental factors of typhoon “Parma” rapid strengthening process in Beibu gulf were studied by using NCEP reanalysis data and NOAA daily average sea surface temperature data. The results showed that: (1) the strengthening was caused by blocking highs collapsing and moving to south, the transversal trough changing to vertical one, with stable south Asia high, weakened subtropical high and collapsed north side high dam, and cold ground high; (2) the important factors which led to rapid strengthening of typhoon were vertical shear of environmental wind field changing from the strong shear to weak shear, the strongest negative vertical spiral degrees sinking from the middle-high level and adjusting its intensity, the strengthening of the low-level environmental atmospheric convergence and the maintaining of the high-level divergence, the enhancing of the environmental atmospheric instability, the embedding of weak cold air on the west side of typhoon, enhanced water vapor transport and the SST of Beibu gulf over 27.5℃.

Huang Rongcheng,Chen Jian,Zhao Jinbiao and Zeng Xiaotuan. Rapid Strengthening of Typhoon “Parma” in Beibu Gulf[J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2016, 32(8): 136-146.

References

[1] 赵小平,朱晶晶,吴慧,等.1321号台风“蝴蝶”强度变化特征和影响因素分析[J].应用海洋学学报,2014,33(3):404-411.
[2] 于玉斌,段海霞,炎利军,等.超强台风“桑美”(2006)近海急剧增强过程数值模拟试验[J].大气科学,2009,32(6):1365-1378.
[3] 陆波,钱维宏.华南近海台风突然增强的初秋季节锁相[J].地球物理学报,2012,55(5):1523-1531
[4] 程锐,宇如聪,傅云飞,等.台风“云娜”在近海强度变化及结构特征的数值研究Ⅰ：云微物理参数化对云结构及降水特征的影响[J].气象学报,2009,67(5):764-776.
[5] 董良淼,陈见,何冬燕.0518号台风“达维”后期强度突变成因分析[J].海洋预报,2008,25(3):28-32.
[6] 林良勋,梁巧倩,黄忠.华南近海急剧加强热带气旋及其环流综合分析[J].气象,2006,32(2):14-18.
[7] 苏鸿明.9914号台风近海强度增强的主因分析[J].应用海洋学学报,2001,20(3):298-300.
[8] 邓文君,王蓉,李茜希,等.1208号台风“韦森特”南海近海强度突增特征诊断分析[J].海洋预报,2013(5):44-50.
[9] 陈光华.近海加强热带气旋结构与强度变化机理的数值模拟研究[D].北京:中国气象科学研究院,2004:9-31.
[10] Mark DeMaria, Jhon Kaplan. An Updated Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Basins[J].Weather and Forecasting,1999,14:326-337.
[11] Krishnamurtt T.N. Pattnaik S., Stefanova L., Vijiaya Kumar T.S.V., et al. The hurricane intensity issue[J].MonWea Rev,2005,133:1886-1911.
[12] J DeMaria M. Large-scale characteristics of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones in the northd atlantic basin[J].Mon Wea Rev,2003,18:1093-1108.
[13] 陈联寿,徐祥德,罗哲贤,等.热带气旋动力学引论[M].北京:气象出版社,2002:11-12.
[14] Molinari J, Skubis S, Vollaro D, et al. Potential vorticity analysis of tropical cyclone intensification[J].Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences,1998,55(16):2632-2644.
[15] 余晖,吴国雄.湿斜压性与热带气旋强度突变[J].气象学报,2001,59(4):440-449.
[16] Klein P M, Harr P A, Elsberry R L. Extratropical Transition of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones: Midlatitude and Tropical Cyclone Contributions to Reintensification[J].Monthly Weather Review,2002,130(9):2240-2259.
[17] J DeMaria M. Large-scale characteristics of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones in the northd atlantic basin[J].Mon Wea Rev,2003,18:1093-1108.
[18] Tuleya R E, Kurihara Y. A Numerical Study on the Effects of Environmental Flow on Tropical Storm Genesis[J].Monthly Weather Review,1981,109(12):2487-2506.
[19] 徐明,余锦华,赖安伟,等.环境风垂直切变与登陆台风强度变化关系的统计分析[J].暴雨灾害,2009,28(4):339-344.
[20] 苏丽欣,周锁铨,吴战平,等.西北太平洋热带气旋强度与环境气流切变关系的气候分析[J].气象科技,2008,36(5):561-566.
[21] 白莉娜,何敏,王元,等.西北太平洋风速垂直切变异常对热带气旋活动年际变化的影响[J].气象学报,2010,68(6):877-884.
[22] 李耀东,刘健文,高守亭.螺旋度在对流天气预报中的应用研究进展[J].气象科技,2005,33(1):7-11.
[23] 伍荣生,谈哲敏.广义涡度与位势涡度守恒定律及其应用[J].气象学报,1989,47(4):436-442.
[24] 岳彩军.Q矢量、螺旋度、位涡及位涡反演在台风暴雨研究中的应用进展[J].暴雨灾害,2014,33(3):193-201.
[25] 赖焕雄,郑小琴,吴建成,等.“西马仑”与“海贝思”台风特大暴雨对比分析[J].气象与环境科学,2015,38(3):78-86.
[26] 冉令坤,楚艳丽.强降水过程中垂直螺旋度和散度通量及其拓展形式的诊断分析[J].物理学报,2009,58(11):8094-8106.
[27] 陈见,赖珍权,罗小莉,等.“尤特”超强台风残留低涡引发的广西特大暴雨成因分析[J].暴雨灾害,2014,33(1):19-25.
[28] 王新,方翔,邱红,等.应用AMSU-B微波资料分析0509号Matsa台风水汽场分布特征[J].气象,2014,35(12):30-36.
[29] 陈联寿,丁一汇.西太平洋台风概论[M].北京:科学出版社,1979:105.
[30] Baik J J, Paek J S. A Climatology of Sea Surface Temperature and the Maximum Intensity of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones[J].Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan.ser.ii,1998,76(1):129-137.
[31] Chan J C L, Duan Y, Shay L K. Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change from a Simple Ocean-Atmosphere Coupled Model[J] Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences,2001,58(2):154-172.