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Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin ›› 2018, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2): 159-164.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb17090162

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Urbanization and Employment Structure Change in Jinchang: Quantitative Analysis

  

  • Received:2017-09-30 Revised:2017-10-30 Accepted:2017-11-24 Online:2018-01-23 Published:2018-01-23

Abstract: Using the OLS regression model, Granger causality test, impulse response function, this paper analyzed the relationship between urbanization level and employment structure in Jinchang, Gansu based on the economic statistical data from 1981 to 2015. The results show that: (1) the process of urbanization and employment structure of the three industries have three phases: the primary stage of development; the fluctuation development stage and the rapid development stage; (2) the urbanization level of Jinchang has positive pulse relationship with the urbanization development structure of the tertiary industry, however, it has negative pulse relationship with the employment structure of the primary and the secondary industries; (3) the urbanization development of Jinchang is in the rapid development stage, and the employment structure is dominated by the secondary and the tertiary industries.