Study on Ecological Niche Evolution and Invasion Potential During Invasion Process of Alien Plant Aegilops tauschii Coss.

doi:10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2024-0088

Abstract

Abstract:

In order to strengthen China's ecological security barrier and protect biodiversity, and to prevent the ecological threats posed by the large-scale invasion and spread of Aegilops tauschii Coss., it is necessary to implement comprehensive control measures and dynamically monitor its invasion and spread trends. Based on the issues of prevention and management of A. tauschii in China, this study took A. tauschii as the research subject and utilized the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model to analyze its potential suitable habitat range in China. Furthermore, the study employed Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to examine the climatic ecological niche changes of A. tauschii during its invasion process into China. By using ecological niche modeling, this study analyzed the current status and potential distribution of A. tauschii, identified the regions in China with the highest risk of invasion by this species, such as central China, southern Fujian, Zhanjiang in Guangdong, Hainan, the southwest and Tacheng regions of Xinjiang, and the western and southeastern parts of Tibet. The main ecological factors influencing its distribution are the precipitation of the driest month (Bio14) and the mean temperature of the warmest quarter (Bio10). High ecological niche stability indicates that A. tauschii is in an ecologically conservative state during the invasion process. The difference between the climatic ecological niche of A. tauschii in China and its native ecological niche is due to the unfilled niche, where the climatic ecological niche of the invasive population is merely a subset of the native ecological niche.

Key words: ecological niche modeling, niche shift, niche conservatism, invasive species, invasion stage, Aegilops tauschii Coss., potential suitable region, invasion risk

ZHANG Chunling, YANG Yizhe, CHEN Lili, CHEN Yu, WANG Jia, LI Xindi, ZHANG Xianrui, SHI Yan, XIE Jun, WU Yifan, LIU Gang. Study on Ecological Niche Evolution and Invasion Potential During Invasion Process of Alien Plant Aegilops tauschii Coss.[J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2024, 40(29): 120-130.

Figures/Tables 8

References 51

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变量	因子描述	单位	相对贡献值/%
Bio2	昼夜温差月均值Mean diurnal range	℃	4.6
Bio4	温度季节性变化方差Temperature seasonality	℃	46.3
Bio10	最暖季度平均温度Mean temperature of warmest quarter	℃	30.7
Bio14	最干月份降水量Precipitation of driest month	mm	4.1
Bio15	降水量季节性变化方差Precipitation seasonality	/	4.3
Bio19	最冷季度降水量Precipitation of coldest quarter	mm	5.4
Alt	高程海拔Elevation	m	4.6

变量	因子描述	单位	相对贡献值/%
Bio2	昼夜温差月均值Mean diurnal range	℃	4.6
Bio4	温度季节性变化方差Temperature seasonality	℃	46.3
Bio10	最暖季度平均温度Mean temperature of warmest quarter	℃	30.7
Bio14	最干月份降水量Precipitation of driest month	mm	4.1
Bio15	降水量季节性变化方差Precipitation seasonality	/	4.3
Bio19	最冷季度降水量Precipitation of coldest quarter	mm	5.4
Alt	高程海拔Elevation	m	4.6