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中国农学通报 ›› 2013, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (26): 151-156.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.2012-2732

所属专题: 棉花 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

乌兰乌苏棉花气候产量的影响因素分析

黄健 季枫   

  • 收稿日期:2012-08-11 修回日期:2012-09-02 出版日期:2013-09-15 发布日期:2013-09-15
  • 基金资助:
    科技部、财政部公益性行业科研专项“农田水分利用效率对气候变化的响应与适应技术”

Analysis of Effect Factors on Climatic Yield of Cotton in Wulanwusu

  • Received:2012-08-11 Revised:2012-09-02 Online:2013-09-15 Published:2013-09-15

摘要: 为了搞清楚气候对新疆优质棉花的影响作用,使之能指导棉花生产,运用统计学的方法,研究乌兰乌苏棉区31年的产量和气象资料之间的关系。结果表明,温度和降水都呈现上升的趋势,年际变化明显,年代际变化较为平缓,而气候产量呈下降趋势。1980—1989年降水偏少,气温偏低;1990—1999年降水接近均值,气温略有上升;2000—2010年气温和降水都急剧升高,这对提高气候产量不利。气温变化对棉花气候产量的影响大于降水,气温正常时,气候产量较高;气温异常时,气候产量较低。气候产量的年际波动较大,说明气候变化对棉花生产的影响也在加大。因此,充分利用气候产量的波动特点,采取相应的措施,这对于保证棉花的高产和稳产有重要意义。

关键词: 品质, 品质

Abstract: To understand the effect of climatic conditions on Xinjiang high quality cotton and to make it can guide cotton practice, many statistical methods were employed to research the relationship between the yield of Wulanwusu cotton planting area and meteorological data in the past 31 years, we drew a conclusion that the temperature and precipitation had showed uplifted trend and climatic yield had showed down trend. Interannual variation was marked and interdecadal variation was smooth. In the 1980’s, precipitation was little and temperature was lower; in the 1990’s, precipitation approached mean value and temperature ascended little; in the 2000’s, temperature and precipitation went up rapidly, which was not good to raise climatic yield. The effect of temperature on climatic yield was stronger than that of precipitation. When temperature was normal, the higher meteorologic yield could be obtained; when temperature was abnormal, the yield was lower. Interannual fluctuation of meteorologic yield was marked, which meant that the effect of climatic variation on cotton yield was in creasing. Thus, it was significant for ensuring high yield to take fully advantage of the fluctuating characters of climatic yield and to adopt according measures.

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