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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (17): 187-193.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb15100140

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国粮食“十一连增”的主要因素分析与政策建议

崔奇峰,蒋和平,吴颍宣   

  1. 中国农科院农业经济与发展研究所,中国农科院农业经济与发展研究所,南京大学商学院
  • 收稿日期:2015-10-31 修回日期:2016-05-25 接受日期:2015-12-23 出版日期:2016-06-20 发布日期:2016-06-20
  • 通讯作者: 蒋和平
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目“基于改革视角下国家粮食安全问题研究”（编号: 14ZDA041）；中国农业科学院科技创新工程资助项目“农业现代化理论与政策”（编号：ASTIP-IAED02）；2014年中国农业科学院基本科研业务费“新型农业经营主体培育中的土地流转绩效评价及问题研究”（编号：0052014002-4）。

Causes and Policy Recommendations of China’s Grain Growth for 11 Consecutive Years

  • Received:2015-10-31 Revised:2016-05-25 Accepted:2015-12-23 Online:2016-06-20 Published:2016-06-20

PDF (PC)

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摘要： 为了找到确保中国粮食稳定发展的方法和途径，在对中国粮食生产特点分析的基础上，对推动粮食“十一连增”的具体动因及制约因素进行了深入分析。研究认为：在中国支持粮食产业财政投入不断加大、农业科技实力不断增强、种植业结构的高产替代模式等因素的推动下，中国粮食连续十一年增产。但是，中国粮食安全并非高枕无忧，粮食生产面临着资源约束加剧、比较效益降低、国际竞争力减弱、生态和环境持续恶化等挑战。因此，本研究提出要从财政、科技、环境、经营主体以及粮价视角出发，建立粮食稳定发展的长效机制。

关键词: 千里光超微粉, 千里光超微粉, 生长性能, T3, IGF-I, BUN, 仔猪

Abstract: With the purpose of finding effective ways and means to ensure a stable development of China’s grain production, based on the characteristics of grain production, this study analyzed the facilitating and constraining factors of China’s grain growth for 11 consecutive years. The results indicated that the continuous growth of food production for 11 years mainly came from the continuously increased financial support to the grain industry, the enhanced strength of agricultural science and technology, and high yield substitution pattern of planting structure. However, China’s food security still faced challenges such as intensified resource constraints, low comparative benefit, weaker international competence, and deteriorated ecology and environment. Finally, this paper suggested establishing a long-term mechanism for food stable development from the perspectives of financial, science and technology, environment, grain operating entities and pricing.