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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2018, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2): 159-164.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb17090162

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    

金昌市城市化与就业结构演变的计量分析

王雪平,张杰   

  1. 西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院,西北师范大学
  • 收稿日期:2017-09-30 修回日期:2017-10-30 接受日期:2017-11-24 出版日期:2018-01-23 发布日期:2018-01-23
  • 通讯作者: 王雪平
  • 基金资助:
    无

Urbanization and Employment Structure Change in Jinchang: Quantitative Analysis

  • Received:2017-09-30 Revised:2017-10-30 Accepted:2017-11-24 Online:2018-01-23 Published:2018-01-23

摘要： 基于金昌市1981-2015年的经济统计数据,通过OLS回归模型、Granger因果检验、脉冲响应函数等方法定量与定性分析金昌市的城市化水平与就业结构的关系,结果表明：1)城市化进程与三次产业就业结构的演变具有阶段性：初步发展阶段、波动探索阶段、快速发展阶段；2)金昌市的城市化水平与第三产业就业结构呈现正向的脉冲关系,与第二产业就业为负向脉冲关系,与第一产业就业为负向脉冲关系；3)金昌市的城市化水平处于快速发展阶段,就业结构以二、三产业为主。

关键词: 黑土, 黑土, 有机碳, 活性有机质

Abstract: Using the OLS regression model, Granger causality test, impulse response function, this paper analyzed the relationship between urbanization level and employment structure in Jinchang, Gansu based on the economic statistical data from 1981 to 2015. The results show that: (1) the process of urbanization and employment structure of the three industries have three phases: the primary stage of development; the fluctuation development stage and the rapid development stage; (2) the urbanization level of Jinchang has positive pulse relationship with the urbanization development structure of the tertiary industry, however, it has negative pulse relationship with the employment structure of the primary and the secondary industries; (3) the urbanization development of Jinchang is in the rapid development stage, and the employment structure is dominated by the secondary and the tertiary industries.