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中国农学通报 ›› 2019, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (11): 110-114.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb18020091

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

近57年高寒地区0℃界限温度变化特征

娄仲山, 毛万珍, 郭连云   

  1. 青海省共和县气象局
  • 收稿日期:2018-02-27 修回日期:2019-03-21 接受日期:2018-08-13 出版日期:2019-04-15 发布日期:2019-04-15
  • 通讯作者: 娄仲山
  • 基金资助:

0℃ Critical Temperature in Alpine Region of Qinghai During 1961-2017: Variation Characteristics

  • Received:2018-02-27 Revised:2019-03-21 Accepted:2018-08-13 Online:2019-04-15 Published:2019-04-15

摘要: 在气候变暖背景下,分析高寒地区0 ℃界限温度变化特征,以期为合理开发农牧业气候资源。利用青海省高寒地区贵南县气象局观测的1961—2017年逐日平均气温资料,采用滑动平均法、线性倾向估计、M-K突变分析等方法,对高寒地区贵南县≥0 ℃初日、终日、持续日数及同时期积温变化特征进行分析。结果表明:近57年高寒地区贵南县气温稳定通过0℃的初日呈不显著的提前趋势,终日呈不显著的后延趋势;持续日数以1.48 d.10a-1的气候倾向率呈现显著增多趋势;≥0 ℃的积温以每10年30.2 ℃.d的气候倾向率呈现极显著的升高趋势。气温稳定通过0℃的初日、终日未发生突变;持续日数在1985年发生了由少到多的突变;积温在1994年发生由少到多突变。

关键词: 烤烟, 烤烟, ‘云烟105’, 福建, 试种

Abstract: Under the background of climate warming, the authors studied the variation characteristics of 0℃ critical temperature in alpine region of Qinghai, in order to rationally explore husbandry climate resources. Based on the daily average air temperature data of Guinan meteorological bureau from 1961 to 2017, the authors analyzed the variation characteristics of the first day, the final day, the duration and accumulated temperature with ≥0℃ by the methods of sliding average method, linear tendency estimation and M- K mutation analysis. The results showed that: the first day when the temperature steadily passed 0℃ in Guinan during 1961-2017 showed an insignificant advance trend and the final day showed an insignificant postponed trend; the duration showed a significant increase trend with a rate of 1.48 d/10 a; the accumulated temperature with ≥0℃ had an extremely significant increase trend with a rate 30.2℃· d every 10 years; the first day and the final day when the temperature steadily passed 0℃ had no mutations; the duration had a mutation from few to many in 1985; the accumulated temperature had a mutation from less to more in 1994.