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中国农学通报

中国农学通报 ›› 2022, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (8): 157-164.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2021-0357

所属专题： 现代农业发展与乡村振兴； 耕地保护

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    

江苏省人口与土地城镇化协调发展研究

李自鹏1(), 欧向军1,2(), 朱杰1, 周蓓蓓1, 钱嘉琳1, 朱虎啸1   

  1. 1江苏师范大学 地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏徐州 221116
    2江苏师范大学城镇化研究中心 江苏徐州 221116
  • 收稿日期:2021-05-21 修回日期:2021-07-18 出版日期:2022-03-15 发布日期:2022-04-06
  • 通讯作者: 欧向军
  • 作者简介:李自鹏,男,1994年出生,河南许昌人,硕士,研究方向：城市与区域规划。通信地址：221116 江苏省徐州市铜山区上海路101号 江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,Tel：0516-83656632,E-mail： 1453358386@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学重点项目“江苏省经济极化与区域均衡互动发展研究”(2018SJZDI091);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目“提升徐州首位度促进淮海经济区协同发展演研究”(KYCX202379);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX21_2631)

The Coordinated Development of Population and Land Urbanization in Jiangsu Province

LI Zipeng1(), OU Xiangjun1,2(), ZHU Jie1, ZHOU Beibei1, QIAN Jialin1, ZHU Huxiao1   

  1. 1College of Geography Surveying and Rural Urban Planning, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221116
    2Center for Urbanization Studies, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221116
  • Received:2021-05-21 Revised:2021-07-18 Online:2022-03-15 Published:2022-04-06
  • Contact: OU Xiangjun

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摘要：

分析江苏省及三大区域的人口与土地城镇化协调发展水平,推进其城镇化高质量发展。通过构建人口与土地城镇化评价指标体系,运用变异系数法和熵值法确定权重,并采用耦合协调度模型对2000—2018年江苏省和2018年13个地级市的人口与土地城镇化协调发展进行研究。研究表明：（1）2000—2001、2003—2013年江苏省人口城镇化指数略高于土地城镇化指数,属于土地城镇化滞后型;2002、2014—2018年江苏省土地城镇化指数高于人口城镇化指数,属于人口城镇化滞后型。（2）江苏省人口与土地城镇化协调度等级分别为失调（2000—2001年）,中低度协调（2002—2004年）,中度协调（2005—2008年）,中高度协调（2009—2012年）,高度协调（2013—2018年）。（3）江苏省人口与土地城镇化滞后型空间呈现“南北”结构,江苏省城镇化水平不均衡且两极化现象突出。（4）除徐州市外,江苏省的人口城镇化和土地城镇化的协调度呈现“由南向北递减的阶梯状分布”,其中南京市的人口与土地城镇化协调度最高,宿迁市最低。该研究得出了江苏省人口与土地城镇化的时间演变规律及空间格局特征,为江苏省人口与土地城镇化协调发展指明了前进的方向。

关键词: 人口城镇化, 土地城镇化, 协调度, 江苏省

Abstract:

By analyzing the coordinated development level of population and land urbanization in Jiangsu Province and its three major regions (the south, central and north Jiangsu), we aim to promote the high-quality development of urbanization. By constructing a population and land urbanization evaluation index system, we used the coefficient of variation method and the entropy method to determine the weights and adopted the coupling coordination degree model to study the coordination of population and land urbanization of Jiangsu Province from 2000 to 2018 and that of 13 prefecture-level cities of the province in 2018. The results showed that: (1) the population urbanization index of Jiangsu Province was slightly higher than that of the land urbanization index from 2000 to 2001 and from 2003 to 2013, which was a lagging type of land urbanization; the land urbanization index of Jiangsu Province was higher than that of the population in 2002 and from 2014 to 2018, the urbanization index belonged to the lagging type of population urbanization; (2) the degree of coordination between population and land urbanization in Jiangsu Province was unbalanced (2000 to 2001), of medium-low coordination (2002 to 2004), of moderate coordination (2005 to 2008), of medium-high coordination (2009 to 2012), and of high coordination (2013 to 2018); (3) the lagging space of population and land urbanization in Jiangsu Province presented a ‘north-south’ structure, the level of urbanization in Jiangsu Province was uneven and the phenomenon of polarization was prominent; (4) except Xuzhou City, the coordination degree of population urbanization and land urbanization in Jiangsu Province showed a ‘step-like distribution down from south to north’, Nanjing City had the highest degree of coordination between population and land urbanization, and Suqian City had the lowest degree of coordination. This study obtained the temporal evolution law and spatial pattern characteristics of the population and land urbanization in Jiangsu Province, and stated the direction for the coordinated development of population and land urbanization in the province.

Key words: population urbanization, land urbanization, coordination degree, Jiangsu Province

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