Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin ›› 2022, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (8): 152-156.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2021-0364
Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:
2021-04-08
Revised:
2021-07-21
Online:
2022-03-15
Published:
2022-04-06
CLC Number:
ZHOU Xiaohong. The Crop Yield Estimation Model Based on Multiple Regression Analysis[J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2022, 38(8): 152-156.
Add to citation manager EndNote|Ris|BibTeX
URL: https://www.casb.org.cn/EN/10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2021-0364
类别 | 作用 | 判定 | 说明 |
---|---|---|---|
R2检验 | 用于检验回归模型的 有效性的鉴定值 | 0≤R2≤1 | R2值越接近1,模型用于农作物产量估测越有效 |
F检验 | 检验模型整体显著性 | 根据给定的显著性水平,查阅F分布表, 得出临界值,并与F进行对比 | 当F>临界值,通过F检验,方程的线性关系显著; 当F<临界值,未通过检验,回归模型无意义 |
t检验 | 用于回归模型的系数 显著性 | 同上 | t<临界值,通过检验,自变量对因变量的影响显著; 否则,未通过检验 |
类别 | 作用 | 判定 | 说明 |
---|---|---|---|
R2检验 | 用于检验回归模型的 有效性的鉴定值 | 0≤R2≤1 | R2值越接近1,模型用于农作物产量估测越有效 |
F检验 | 检验模型整体显著性 | 根据给定的显著性水平,查阅F分布表, 得出临界值,并与F进行对比 | 当F>临界值,通过F检验,方程的线性关系显著; 当F<临界值,未通过检验,回归模型无意义 |
t检验 | 用于回归模型的系数 显著性 | 同上 | t<临界值,通过检验,自变量对因变量的影响显著; 否则,未通过检验 |
年份 | X1 | X2 | X3 |
---|---|---|---|
2007 | 15.45 | 1080.70 | 3411.58 |
2008 | 15.93 | 1070.45 | 2283.76 |
2009 | 16.34 | 963.07 | 2288.43 |
2010 | 15.76 | 1226.85 | 3305.50 |
2011 | 16.32 | 852.40 | 836.57 |
2012 | 15.23 | 1040.44 | 2139.76 |
2013 | 16.45 | 1043.36 | 1324.53 |
2014 | 16.76 | 1 065.32 | 1642.23 |
2015 | 15.23 | 1036.75 | 483.32 |
2016 | 15.80 | 1123.80 | 1000.57 |
年份 | X1 | X2 | X3 |
---|---|---|---|
2007 | 15.45 | 1080.70 | 3411.58 |
2008 | 15.93 | 1070.45 | 2283.76 |
2009 | 16.34 | 963.07 | 2288.43 |
2010 | 15.76 | 1226.85 | 3305.50 |
2011 | 16.32 | 852.40 | 836.57 |
2012 | 15.23 | 1040.44 | 2139.76 |
2013 | 16.45 | 1043.36 | 1324.53 |
2014 | 16.76 | 1 065.32 | 1642.23 |
2015 | 15.23 | 1036.75 | 483.32 |
2016 | 15.80 | 1123.80 | 1000.57 |
年份 | X4 | X5 | X6 | X7 | X8 | X9 | X10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007 | 5304.25 | 335.76 | 9.58 | 2925.97 | 1890.75 | 314.67 | 6.08 |
2008 | 4886.34 | 338.53 | 9.54 | 2957.43 | 1832.55 | 345.86 | 6.54 |
2009 | 4882.54 | 337.08 | 8.49 | 2983.63 | 1744.46 | 423.54 | 6.53 |
2010 | 4659.23 | 334.32 | 8.67 | 3029.74 | 1615.79 | 529.35 | 6.34 |
2011 | 4774.76 | 336.40 | 9. 65 | 3052.87 | 1506.43 | 679.73 | 7.07 |
2012 | 4909.78 | 340.86 | 10.86 | 3135.47 | 1414.45 | 825.99 | 7.29 |
2013 | 5110.54 | 342.87 | 9.88 | 3278.45 | 1323.85 | 1011.65 | 7.36 |
2014 | 5215.77 | 342.87 | 9.65 | 3392.65 | 1230.54 | 1159.58 | 8.35 |
2015 | 5267.23 | 340.75 | 9.95 | 3630.94 | 1179.56 | 1234.64 | 8.45 |
2016 | 5272.72 | 344.54 | 9.98 | 3810.89 | 1120.56 | 1316.46 | 9.88 |
年份 | X4 | X5 | X6 | X7 | X8 | X9 | X10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007 | 5304.25 | 335.76 | 9.58 | 2925.97 | 1890.75 | 314.67 | 6.08 |
2008 | 4886.34 | 338.53 | 9.54 | 2957.43 | 1832.55 | 345.86 | 6.54 |
2009 | 4882.54 | 337.08 | 8.49 | 2983.63 | 1744.46 | 423.54 | 6.53 |
2010 | 4659.23 | 334.32 | 8.67 | 3029.74 | 1615.79 | 529.35 | 6.34 |
2011 | 4774.76 | 336.40 | 9. 65 | 3052.87 | 1506.43 | 679.73 | 7.07 |
2012 | 4909.78 | 340.86 | 10.86 | 3135.47 | 1414.45 | 825.99 | 7.29 |
2013 | 5110.54 | 342.87 | 9.88 | 3278.45 | 1323.85 | 1011.65 | 7.36 |
2014 | 5215.77 | 342.87 | 9.65 | 3392.65 | 1230.54 | 1159.58 | 8.35 |
2015 | 5267.23 | 340.75 | 9.95 | 3630.94 | 1179.56 | 1234.64 | 8.45 |
2016 | 5272.72 | 344.54 | 9.98 | 3810.89 | 1120.56 | 1316.46 | 9.88 |
名称 | 参数 |
---|---|
β0 | -2897.788 |
β1 | 0.946 |
β2 | 7.255 |
β3 | -7.722 |
β4 | -0.681 |
β5 | 63.554 |
β6 | 8.2656 |
β7 | / |
β8 | -2.335 |
β9 | 0.425 |
β10 | 3.254 |
R2检验 | 0.993接近1,通过检验 |
F检验 | 4.665>临界值3.482,通过检验 |
t检验 | 10个因素的绝对值中, X7农业机械总动力的t值1.365<临界值2.228, 未通过检验 |
名称 | 参数 |
---|---|
β0 | -2897.788 |
β1 | 0.946 |
β2 | 7.255 |
β3 | -7.722 |
β4 | -0.681 |
β5 | 63.554 |
β6 | 8.2656 |
β7 | / |
β8 | -2.335 |
β9 | 0.425 |
β10 | 3.254 |
R2检验 | 0.993接近1,通过检验 |
F检验 | 4.665>临界值3.482,通过检验 |
t检验 | 10个因素的绝对值中, X7农业机械总动力的t值1.365<临界值2.228, 未通过检验 |
[1] | 陶雯, 张旭博, 孙志刚, 等. 华北引黄灌区粮食产量与农业土壤资源质量时空分布特征[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(4):159-168. |
[2] | 张卓, 龙慧灵, 王崇倡, 等. 冬小麦叶片光合特征高光谱遥感估算模型的比较研究[J]. 中国农业科学, 2019, 52(4):616-628. |
[3] | 郭霞霞, 周桂红, 程洪. 基于线性回归模型的菜花重量预测研究[J]. 河北农业大学学报, 2019, 42(1):130-134. |
[4] | 韩文霆, 彭星硕, 张立元, 等. 基于多时相无人机遥感植被指数的夏玉米产量估算[J]. 农业机械学报, 2020, 51(1):155-162. |
[5] | 任青山, 方逵, 朱幸辉. 基于多元回归的BP神经网络生猪价格预测模型[J]. 江苏农业科学, 2019, 47(14):277-281. |
[6] | 闫长斌, 杜旭阳, 戴晓亚, 等. 基于围岩力学参数的TBM净掘进速率多元回归预测模型[J]. 隧道建设(中英文), 2019, 39(1):48-53. |
[7] | 崔旭盛, 方涛, 解军波, 等. 基于回归神经网络模型的中药材种子价格预测分析——以酸枣种子为例[J]. 种子, 2020, 39(3):52-55. |
[8] | 杨北萍, 陈圣波, 于海洋, 等. 基于随机森林回归方法的水稻产量遥感估算[J]. 中国农业大学学报, 2020, 25(6):32-40. |
[9] | 苏华, 张明慧, 李静, 等. 基于光学与SAR因子的森林生物量多元回归估算——以福建省为例[J]. 遥感技术与应用, 2019, 34(4):847-856. |
[10] | 张超, 余哲修, 黄田, 等. 基于不同光谱变换的剑湖茭草鲜生物量估测研究[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 2019, 39(6):105-115. |
[11] | 陶惠林, 冯海宽, 徐良骥, 等. 基于无人机高光谱遥感数据的冬小麦生物量估算[J]. 江苏农业学报, 2020, 36(5):88-96. |
[12] | 李环, 孙素芬, 罗长寿. 基于NARX神经网络的粮食产量预测模型[J]. 江苏农业科学, 2020, 48(22):234-238. |
[13] | 王辉, 付虹雨, 王继龙, 等. 基于多元回归和BP神经网络的苎麻产量估测模型比较研究[J]. 中国麻业科学, 2020, 42(5):38-49. |
[14] | 王占林, 张海春. 基于多元回归的高寒地区油菜产量预测模型[J]. 中国农学通报, 2019, 35(14):38-41. |
[15] | 冯欣, 登巴达吉, 孔四新, 等. 基于线性回归分析模型的藏药波棱瓜子产量预测及其影响因子解析[J]. 中国现代中药, 2020, 22(3):409-411,426. |
[16] | 崔颖, 蔺宏宏, 谢云, 等. AquaCrop模型在东北黑土区作物产量预测中的应用研究[J]. 作物学报, 2021, 47(1):163-172. |
[17] | 刘鹏, 郑勇, 杨红军. 基于改进神经网络的农作物产量预测方法[J]. 电子技术应用, 2019, 45(10):88-91,99. |
[18] | 王利民, 姚保民, 刘佳, 等. 基于SWAP模型同化遥感数据的黑龙江南部春玉米产量监测[J]. 农业工程学报, 2019, 35(22):285-295. |
[19] | 刘建君, 陈红, 马晋宇. 基于环境库兹涅茨曲线模型的农作物产量与碳足迹关系研究——以黑龙江省水稻生产为例[J]. 科技管理研究, 2020, 40(4):248-253. |
[20] | 蒋华伟, 张磊. 基于长短期记忆生成对抗网络的小麦品质多指标预测模型[J]. 电子与信息学报, 2020, 42(12):42-49. |
[1] | WANG Wenjun, WANG Daozhong. Replacement Ratio of Chemical Fertilizer by Organic Fertilizer Under the Wheat-Maize Rotation in Lime Concretion Black Soil Area [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2022, 38(15): 78-84. |
[2] | YAN Tong, YANG Huaen, LIU Fenghua, SUN Yuying. Effects of Fertilization Measures on Nutrient Change and Crop Yield of Newly-cultivated Land [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2022, 38(12): 74-78. |
[3] | TIAN Junlin, HAO Shouning. Research Progress of Non-point Source Pollution Estimation Model [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2022, 38(11): 111-115. |
[4] | Zhang Dongdong, Zhou Kanshe, Dai Rui, Yuan Lei, Wang Jiarui, Bian Duo. The Estimation Model of Fractional Vegetation Cover of Maize Based on the Real Image of Farmland [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2021, 37(29): 84-91. |
[5] | Zhang Meizhi, Geng Yuhan, Zhang Wei, Lin Xin, Wen Jiaxu, Chen Xueli, Xiao Yang. The Role of Straw Biochar in Farmland: A Review [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2021, 37(21): 59-65. |
[6] | Lu Xingli, Duan Yaxin, Yue Heng, Liu Jihu, Kang Jianhong, Wu Hongliang, Dai Xiaohua, Wu Na, Jia Biao. Meta-analysis: The Effect of Intercropping on Crop Yield [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2020, 36(14): 101-106. |
[7] | Wang Fake, Lei Yuhong, Du Zhanliang, Cai Yuqin. Climate Change Affects Major Crops’ Yield in Qaidam Basin [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2020, 36(14): 107-112. |
[8] | Zhai Haoran, Li Xican, Zhong Hao, Zhou Yu. Hyperspectral Indirect Estimation Model of Soil Water Content in Cultivated Layer [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2020, 36(11): 86-91. |
[9] | . Annual Co-ordinated Reduction of Phosphorus Application to Wheat/ Maize Rotation System in North China Plain [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2019, 35(32): 7-13. |
[10] | . Spectral Remote Sensing Technology Applied in Crop Yield Estimation: Research Progress [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2019, 35(3): 69-75. |
[11] | . Nitrogen Amounts Affect Yield and Agronomic Traits of No-till Oilseed Rape in Plateau Areas [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2019, 35(28): 11-16. |
[12] | . Straw Returning Affects Crop Yield and Soil Fertility in Bean-rice-vegetable Cropping System [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2018, 34(9): 24-28. |
[13] | . Spectral Response of Phosphorus and Potassium Content in Phyllostachys pubescens Leaves at Different Scales [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2018, 34(8): 51-56. |
[14] | . Maize Straw Returning for Three Consecutive Years: Effects on Soil Physical and Chemical Properties and Crop Yield [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2018, 34(17): 95-98. |
[15] | . Effect of Long-term Application of Different Amounts of Organic Fertilizer on Black Soil Nutrients and Yield [J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2017, 33(8): 68-71. |
Viewed | ||||||
Full text |
|
|||||
Abstract |
|
|||||