Abstract:

In order to accurately grasp the future development trend of the rural waste amount and help the rural environmental pollution control, combining with the survey data from some demonstration villages, the author established a most suitable model for forecasting the amount of rural waste through comparable analysis of 4 grey models. The results showed that the grey model of extraction of the square root was more appropriate for mid-and-long term forecasting of the living waste in villages than the other methods, and then forecasted the per capita production of the living waste in the next 5 years. At last, the author proposed some suggestions for disposing the living waste in villages based on the predicted results.