Abstract:

Based on the Markov model prediction method, to study the changes of land use structure in Jilin city.The research results: to land use change trend undertook systems analysis, basic knowledge of its dynamic characteristics, constructing the land use changes in the driving mechanism of model. prediction model combined, constructing the land demand prediction model combined model. the analysis of regional land utilization potential of each type. application of prediction model method, has carried on the empirical analysis, prediction of regional land demand; to predict the effect of regional land use change and the main driving factors: land use structural adjustment, economic growth and population growth, thus obtains the land use supply and demand balance policy recommendations. the results show that the prediction model is a kind of new more effective land demand forecasting method, effect of land use change in Jilin city the main driving factor is the rapid economic development and government decision-making and other social factors.