Abstract:

As China’s economic development and social progress, the impact of weather disasters on economic and social are more and more extensive and serious. The good results of climate forecast can play a greater role in disaster prevention and mitigation, and by using dynamic climate model results on temperature, precipitation, and other weather elements can effectively improve the prediction accuracy. Based on NCC dynamical climate model outputting products, by combining EOF and multiple regression, temperature and precipitation forecasting equations for 30 days of future which ten days rolling were established. Results showed that good service is achieved in 2007 and 2008 business applications and the PS evaluation score was much better; the system platform which was brief and operability has been developed, so the efficiency of climate forecasting artisan was improved.