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中国农学通报 ›› 2017, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (8): 112-118.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb16050076

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于标准化降水指数的西藏昌都市旱涝时空特征

孙晓光,王 腾,李白萍,卓 永,普布桑姆   

  1. 西藏昌都市气象局,西藏昌都市气象局,西藏昌都市气象局,西藏昌都市气象局,西藏昌都市气象局
  • 收稿日期:2016-05-13 修回日期:2016-08-31 接受日期:2016-09-13 出版日期:2017-03-17 发布日期:2017-03-17
  • 通讯作者: 王 腾
  • 基金资助:
    西藏自治区气象局科技项目(xzqxj201519)。

Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Drought-flood in Chamdo Based on Standard Precipitation Index (SPI)

  • Received:2016-05-13 Revised:2016-08-31 Accepted:2016-09-13 Online:2017-03-17 Published:2017-03-17

摘要: 旱涝灾害是昌都市主要自然灾害,了解昌都市旱涝时空分布特征,对减轻该区域旱涝灾害损失、合理利用水资源和生态屏障建设有重要意义。利用1981—2015 年昌都市7 个气象站的逐月降水数据,采用标准化降水指数(SPI),分析昌都市旱涝变化特征。结果表明:昌都市旱涝变化具有明显的阶段性特征,1981—1995 年旱涝交替发生,1996—2004 年雨涝频繁,2005 年以后以干旱为主;春夏两季降水呈弱增加趋势,春夏旱减少,秋季降水呈弱减少趋势,秋旱增加,冬季则无明显的变化;北部、中部和南部在2002 年以前,旱涝存在一致性,2002 年后存在较大的差异;20 世纪80 年代中期旱涝变率最大,旱涝转换频繁,21 世纪初早期变率最小,3 个区域的旱涝变率总体上与全市相似,2011 年以后,南部区域变率较高,旱涝交替频繁。

关键词: 极端降水指数, 极端降水指数, 气候变化, 本溪山区

Abstract: Drought-flood is one of the major natural hazards in Chamdo. The paper aims to study the spatial and temporal characteristics of drought-flood changes in Chamdo, and offer scientific basis for reducing the loss caused by regional drought- flood disaster, rational utilization of water resources and ecology barrier construction. Based on the monthly precipitation data of 7 meteorological stations in Chamdo during 1981- 2015 and the standard precipitation index (SPI ), the spatial and temporal characteristics of drought-flood in Chamdo were analyzed. The results indicated that: the characteristics of drought-flood showed an obvious stage characteristic, drought-flood manifested alternately during 1981-1995, the flood was more severe from 1996 to 2004, and drought was more frequent from 2005 to 2015; the precipitation in spring and summer showed a weak increasing trend, and the precipitation in autumn had a weak decreasing trend; the occurrence of drought in spring and summer tended to decrease weakly, while in autumn tended to be more severe, there was no obvious change in winter; there was a relative consistence in variation of drought-flood in the northern part, the central part and the southern part during 1981-2001, but there was a big difference since 2002; the most drastic drought-flood variability occurred in the middle 1980s, and in the early 21st century, the variability was the minimum; the variability in three parts was consistent with that of Chamdo in the mass; the change rate was high in the southern part since 2011, and the characteristics of drought-flood showed a frequent alternation.

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