中国农学通报 ›› 2018, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (13): 43-49.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb17030177
刘珂艺,王庆贵,邢亚娟
收稿日期:
2017-03-27
修回日期:
2017-05-23
接受日期:
2017-05-25
出版日期:
2018-05-07
发布日期:
2018-05-07
通讯作者:
邢亚娟
基金资助:
Received:
2017-03-27
Revised:
2017-05-23
Accepted:
2017-05-25
Online:
2018-05-07
Published:
2018-05-07
摘要: 森林动态演替模型是基于个体模拟与预测的模型,广泛应用于森林长期动态变化,是研究森林生态系统对气候变化响应的有效工具。本文简要阐述了森林动态理论,分析了在全球气候变化背景下应用模型研究森林与气候之间关系的可行性和必要性,进一步解析了森林动态演替模型的分类与发展演变过程,以及森林动态演替模型的研究价值。在既有研究成果的基础上,本文详细综述了近年来森林动态演替模型的国内外研究现状,对国际上相关的研究热点和前沿问题进行了探讨,指出国内演替模型预测研究未来发展方向,展望了森林动态演替模型的未来发展趋势。结果表明:森林动态演替模型在全球气候变化背景下,不断升级优化,对森林保护、林业管理等方面具有重要意义。近年来,全球气候变化一直是人们关注的焦点,本文可为进一步研究森林生态系统对气候变化的响应提供参考,同时,为森林生态系统保护与管理提出全球应对策略。
中图分类号:
刘珂艺,王庆贵,邢亚娟. 森林动态演替模型的研究进展[J]. 中国农学通报, 2018, 34(13): 43-49.
[1] Houghton R A, Woodwell G M. Global climate change[J]. Sci. Am, 1989, 260:36-44. [2] Johns T C, Carnell R E, Grossley J F, et al. The second Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM:Model description, spinup and validation[J]. Climate Dynamics, 1997, 13:103-134. [3] Boer G J, Flato G M, Ramsden D. A transient climate change simulation with historical and projected greenhouse gas and aerosolforcing: Projected climate for the 21st century[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2000, 16:427-451. [4] 周丹卉,贺红士,孙国臣,等. 林窗模型及其在全球气候变化研究中的应用[J].生态学杂志,2007, 26(8):1303-1310. [5] Scherstjanoi M, Kaplan J O, Poulter B, et al. Challenges in developing a computationally efficient plant physiological height-class-structured forest model[J]. Ecological Complexity, 2014,(19):96-110. [6] 桑卫国,马克平,陈灵芝,等. 森林动态模型概论[J].植物学通报,1999,16(3):193-200. [7] Giorgio Vacchiano, Federico Magnani, Alessio Collalti. Modeling Italian forests:state of the art and future challenges[EB/OL]. http: //www.sisef.it/iforest/contents?id=ifor0614-005,2012-06-05. [8] Watt A S. Pattern and process in the plant community[J]. Ecol, 1947,35:1-22. [9] Shugart H H.森林动态理论[M]. 李承彪等译.贵州:贵州科技出版社,1992.1: 1-284. [10] Shugart H H, D C West. Forest succession models[J]. Bioscience, 1980,30:308-313. [11] Shugart H H. A theory of forest dynamics: the ecological implications of forest succession models[M]. New York: Springer Verlag, 1984. [12] Kimmins J P. Forest ecology[M]. New York: Macmillan, 1987,531. [13] Dale V H, Doyle T W, Shugart H H. A comparison of tree growth models[J]. Ecol Modeling, 1985,29:145-169. [14] Avery T E, Burkhart H E. Forest measurements (Third edition)[M]. New York: McGraw Hill book company, 1983. [15] Davis I S, Johnson K N. Forest management Ed 3[M]. New York: McGraw Hill book company, 1987,790. [16] Prentice I C, Cramer C W, Harrison S P, et al. Special paper: a global biome model based on plant physiology and dominance, soil properties and climate[J]. Journal of biogeography, 1992:117-134. [17] Marijke van Kuijk, Niels Anten, Roelof Oomen, et al. Stimulating seedling growth in early stages of secondary forest succession:a modeling approach to guide tree liberation[EB/OL]. Http://www.frontiersin.org,2014-6-27. [18] Botkin D B. Forest dynamics: An ecological model[M]. Oxford:Oxford University Press,1993. [19] Bormann F H, Likens G E. Pattern and process in a forested ecosystem[M]. New York:Springer Verlag.1981. [20] Botkin DB, Janak JG, Wallis JR. Some ecological consequences of a computer model of forest growth[J]. Journal of Ecology, 1972,60:849-872. [21] Shugart HH, West DC. Development of an Appalachian Deciduous Forest Succession Model and its application to assessment of the impact of the chestnut blight[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 1977,5:161-179. [22] 邵国凡. 阔叶红松林主要树种生长的水热指数和最优生长过程的模拟研究[J].林业科学,1991,27(1):21-27. [23] Aber JD, Melillo JM. FORTNITE: A computer model of organic matter and nitrogen dynamics in forest ecosystems[J]. University of Wisconsin Research Bulletin, 1982,3130. [24] Pastor J, Post WM. Influence of climate, soil moisture, and succession on forest carbon and nitrogen cycles[J]. Biogeo chemistry, 1986,2:3-27. [25] Virginia H. Dale, M. Lynn Tharp, Karen O. Lannom, et al. Modeling transient response of forests to climate change[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2010(408):1888-1901. [26] Leemans R, Prentice IC. Description and simulation of tree-layer composition and size distributions in a primaeval Picea- Pinus forest[J]. Vegetatio,1987,69:147-156. [27] Smith TM, Urban DL. Scale and the resolution of forest structural pattern[J]. Vegetatio, 1988,74:143-150. [28] He HS, Mladenoff DJ, Crow TR. Linking an ecosystem model and a landscape model to study forest species response to climate warming[J]. Ecological Modeling,1999,114:213-233. [29] Matt S. McGlone, Graeme M.J. Hall, Janet M. Wilmshurst. Seasonality in the early Holocene: Extending fossil-based estimates with a forest ecosystem process model[J]. The Holocene, 2015,21(4):517-526. [30] Friend AD, Stivens AK, Knox RG, et al. Aprocess-based, terrestrial biosphere model of ecosystem dynamics (Hybridv 3.0)[J]. Ecological Modeling, 1997,95:247-287. [31] Hisashi Sato. Simulation of the vegetation structure and function in a Malaysian tropical rain forest using the individual-based dynamic vegetation model SEIB-DGVM[J]. Forest Ecology and Management, 2009 (257):2277-2286. [32] Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Nadezhda M. Tchebakova,Elena I. Parfenova, et al. Forest forecasting with vegetation models across Russia [EB/OL]. Http://www.nrcresearchpress.com/cjfr,2014-10-29. [33] 延晓冬,赵士洞.长白山森林生态系统的生长演替模型的研究[J].生态学报,1995,14(增刊B):12-21. [34] 陈育峰,李克让.应用林窗模型研究全球气候变化对森林群落的可能影响——以四川西部紫果云杉群落为例[J].地理学报,1996,51(增刊):73-80. [35] 于振良,赵士洞. 林窗模型研究进展[J].生态学杂志, 1997,16(2):42-46. [36] 桑卫国,陈灵芝,马克平. 蒙古栎红松林演替模型FOROAK的研究[J].植物学报, 1999,41(6):658-668. [37] 陈雄文,王凤友.林窗模型BKPF模拟红松针阔混交林群落对气候变化的潜在反应[J].植物学报, 2000,24:327-331. [38] 程根伟,罗辑. 贡嘎山亚高山森林自然演替特征与模拟[J].生态学报, 2002,22(7):1049-1056. [39] Yan XD, Shugart HH. FAREAST: A forest gap model to simulate dynamics and patterns of eastern Eurasian forests[J]. Journal of Biogeography, 2005,32:1641-1658. [40] Hulst R. On the dynamics of vegetation: succession in model communities[J]. Plant Ecology, 1979,39(2):85-96. [41] Clements F E. Nature and structure of the climax[J]. Ecol,1936,24:252-284. [42] 郭玉永.文峪河流域上游典型河岸林动态演替模拟研究[J].山西林业科技, 2012,41(4):9-12. [43] Nikolay Strigul, Ionut Florescu, Alicia R. Welden, et al. Modelling of forest stand dynamics using Markov chains[J]. Ecological Modelling Software, 2012,(31):64-75. [44] 周丹卉,贺红士,李秀珍,等. 小兴安岭不同年龄林分对气候变化的潜在响应[J].北京林业大学报, 2007,29(4):110-117. [45] 程肖侠,延晓冬. 气候变化对中国大兴安岭森林演替动态的影响[J].生态学杂志, 2007,26(8):1277-1284. [46] 桑卫国,李景文. 小兴安岭南坡红松林动态模拟[J].生态学报,1998,18(1):38-47. [47] 延晓冬,赵士洞,于振良. 中国东北森林生长演替模拟模型及其在全球变化研究中的应用[J].植物生态学报, 2000,24(1):1-8. [48] 延晓冬,符淙斌, Herman H. Shugart. 气候变化对小兴安岭森林影响的模拟研究[J].植物生态学报, 2000,24(3):312-319. [49] 延晓冬,赵士洞,符淙斌,等. 气候变化背景下小兴安岭天然林的模拟研究[J].自然资源学报, 1999,14(4):372-376. [50] 程肖侠. 气候变化背景下中国东北森林的演替动态:[D].北京:中国科学院研究生院, 2007:1-77. [51] 宋新强. LCFORSKA林隙模型的建立及在全球气候变化研究中的应用:[D].黑龙江:东北林业大学, 2002:1-48. [52] 申玉贤,国庆喜,梁玉莲. 集水区森林动态模型模拟东北天然次生林的演替规律[J].东北林业大学学报, 2011,39(7):46-53. [53] CHENG Gen-wei, SUN Jian, SHA Yu-kun, et al. The Altitudinal Belts of Subalpine Virgin Forest on Mt.Gongga Simulated by a Succession Model[J]. J. Mt. Sci. 2014,11(6):1560-1570. [54] 张岩. 基于Virtools实现森林植被演替规律的可视化:[D].北京:北京林业大学,2012:1-47. [55] Fontes L., Bontemps J. D., Bugmann H., et al. Models for supporting forest management in a changing environment[J]. SI, 2010(19):8-29. [56] 单梁,杨刚,黄心渊. 森林动态演替现象的可视化模拟[J].中国图象图形学报,2013,18(12):1666-1675. [57] Kemachandra Ranatunga, Rodney J. Keenan, Stan D. Wullschleger, et al. Effects of harvest management practices on forest biomass and soil carbon in eucalypt forests in New South Wales, Australia: Simulations with the forest succession model LINKAGES[J]. Forest Ecology and Management, 2008(255):2407-2415. [58] Michael R. Ngugi, Daniel B. Botkin. Validation of a multispecies forest dynamics model using 50-year growth from Eucalyptus forests in eastern Australia[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2011(222):3261-3270. [59] Robert J. Pabst, Matthew N. Goslin, Steven L. Garman,et al. Calibrating and testing a gap model for simulating forest management in the Oregon Coast Range[J]. Forest Ecology and Management, 2008(256):958-972. [60] Guy R. Larocque, Louis Archambault, Claude Delisle. Development of the gap model ZELIG-CFS to predict the dynamics of North American mixed forest types with complex structures[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2011(222):2570-2583. [61] Jennifer A. Holm, H.H. Shugart, S.J. Van Bloem, et al. Gap model development, validation, and application to succession of secondary subtropical dry forests of Puerto Rico[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2012(233):70-82. [62] Nicolas Bircher, Maxime Cailleret, Harald Bugmann. The agony of choice: different empirical mortality models lead to sharply different future forest dynamics[J]. Ecological Applications, 2015, 25(5):1303-1318. [63] M. Didion, A.D. Kupferschmid, M.J. Lexer, et al. Potentials and limitations of using large-scale forest inventory data for evaluating forest succession models[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2009(220):133-147. [64] Wenchi Jin, Hong S. He, Frank R. Thompson III. Are more complex physiological models of forest ecosystems better choices for plot and regional predictions?[J]. Environmental Modelling Software, 2016(75):1-14. [65] Alvaro G. Gutiérrez, Rebecca S. Snell, Harald Bugmann. Using a dynamic forest model to predict tree species distributions[J]. Global Ecology and Biogeography(Global Ecol. Biogeogr.), 2015( 25):347-358. [66] Florian Hartig, James Dyke, Thomas Hickler, et al. Connecting dynamic vegetation models to data-an inverse perspective[J]. Journal of Biogeography (J. Biogeogr.), 2012:1-13. [67] Adrian Weber, J.P. (Hamish) Kimmins, Benjamin Gilbert, et al. Multiple-pathway succession in coastal Tsuga heterophylla, Thujaplicata, and Abies amabilis forests on northeastern Vancouver Island, British Columbia[J]. Can. J.For.Res, 2014,44:1145-1155. [68] Kazmierczak M, Wiegand T, Huth A. A neutral vs. non-neutral parametrizations of a physiologicalSforestSgapSmodel[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2014(288):94-102. [69] Sarah A. Schliemann, James G. Bockheim. Review Methods for studying tree fall gaps: A review[J]. Forest Ecology and Management, 2011(261):1143-1151. [70] Oleg Panferov, Andrey Sogachev. Influence of gap size on wind damage variables in a forest[J]. agricultural and forest meteorology, 2008(148):1869-1881. [71] Renato Augusto F. de Lima, Paulo Inacio Prado, Adriana Maria Z. Martini, et al. Improving methods in gap ecology: revisiting size and shape distributions using a model selection approach[J]. Journal of Vegetation Science, 2013(24):484-495. |
[1] | 曾婕, 余浪, 达布希拉图, 李云驹. 磷基土壤调理剂在低磷红壤上对小白菜生长的影响[J]. 中国农学通报, 2022, 38(9): 81-87. |
[2] | 韩晓芳, 田晓明, 杨永利, 张敬智, 张清, 张凯, 张涛, 贾林. 2种土壤复合改良剂对滨海盐渍土的改良及肥力作用[J]. 中国农学通报, 2022, 38(5): 54-59. |
[3] | 周庭宇, 肖洋, 黄庆阳, 谢宸, 罗优. 森林凋落物分解的研究进展与展望[J]. 中国农学通报, 2022, 38(33): 44-51. |
[4] | 司璐, 吴彤, 甄锦程, 于洪佳, 刘瑶, 杨骁, 徐利剑. 大兴安岭凋落物中可培养真菌分离、鉴定及活性筛选[J]. 中国农学通报, 2022, 38(26): 118-123. |
[5] | 甄锦程, 穆玉婷, 司璐, 于洪佳, 都婷婷, 单体江, 徐利剑. 凋落物真菌Berkleasmium sp.及其螺二萘类化合物抗菌活性的研究[J]. 中国农学通报, 2022, 38(22): 115-120. |
[6] | 黄雅丽, 马风云, 王霞, 郝军, 杜振宇, 刘方春, 石群, 马丙尧. 滴灌水量对核桃幼苗生长的影响[J]. 中国农学通报, 2022, 38(22): 62-68. |
[7] | 曹彩红, 曹玲玲, 祝宁, 陈加和, 赵立群, 田雅楠, 张宝杰, 何秉青. 不同农业措施对草莓连作土壤状况的影响[J]. 中国农学通报, 2022, 38(18): 107-112. |
[8] | 邱天艺, 徐悦, 甄锦程, 司璐, 于洪佳, 穆玉婷, 徐利剑. 大兴安岭森林凋落物的活性真菌及其代谢产物研究[J]. 中国农学通报, 2022, 38(18): 122-127. |
[9] | 李斌成, 许业洲, 袁慧, 侯义梅, 李双龙, 宋慧丽, 杜超群. 湖北省日本落叶松人工林立地分类及质量评价[J]. 中国农学通报, 2021, 37(7): 37-42. |
[10] | 张哲栋, 梁晶, 李泽宇, 高思禹, 邱天艺, 单体江, 徐利剑. 大兴安岭北方森林凋落物真菌及其抗菌化合物[J]. 中国农学通报, 2021, 37(6): 104-110. |
[11] | 柴春荣, 倪红伟, 刘赢男, 张荣涛, 杨基先. 模拟雪被变化下三江平原湿地土壤理化性质的动态响应[J]. 中国农学通报, 2021, 37(5): 31-37. |
[12] | 杨国航, 李琼, 和利钊, 顾静, 牛婧, 张海欧, 郑子健, 赵振. 晚稻全生育期Cd的迁移转化规律及预测模型研究[J]. 中国农学通报, 2021, 37(25): 1-10. |
[13] | 张美芝, 耿煜函, 张薇, 林昕, 温佳旭, 陈雪丽, 肖洋. 秸秆生物炭在农田中的应用研究综述[J]. 中国农学通报, 2021, 37(21): 59-65. |
[14] | 任海英, 王剑, 郑锡良, 张淑文, 邹秀琴, 俞浙萍, 戚行江. 生物有机肥对衰弱病杨梅营养改良及强壮树势的作用[J]. 中国农学通报, 2021, 37(16): 127-137. |
[15] | 徐海军, 姚琴, 王晓飞, 关向军, 孙宇峰. 大庆不同土地利用下土壤理化性质及肥力变化[J]. 中国农学通报, 2020, 36(35): 55-63. |
阅读次数 | ||||||
全文 |
|
|||||
摘要 |
|
|||||