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中国农学通报 ›› 2018, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (27): 142-151.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb18040026

所属专题: 资源与环境 农业生态

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

安徽省区域生态安全动态评价与预警分析

张贝尔,蒋旭东,孙京禄,陆贝贝   

  1. 安徽省经济研究院地理信息研究所,安徽省经济研究院,安徽省经济研究院地理信息研究所,安徽省经济研究院地理信息研究所
  • 收稿日期:2018-04-04 修回日期:2018-06-22 接受日期:2018-06-23 出版日期:2018-09-19 发布日期:2018-09-19
  • 通讯作者: 张贝尔
  • 基金资助:
    安徽省发展和改革委员会“安徽省资源环境承载能力监测预警”。

Regional Ecological Security in Anhui: Dynamic Assessment and Early Warning

  • Received:2018-04-04 Revised:2018-06-22 Accepted:2018-06-23 Online:2018-09-19 Published:2018-09-19

摘要: ]随着城镇化和工业化的高速发展,经济发展和生态环境保护之间的矛盾日益加剧。客观评价区域生态安全状况、变化规律、影响因素,并适时准确进行生态安全预警,对促进区域经济社会和生态环境协调发展具有重要意义。[方法]本研究运用PSR模型构建安徽省生态安全评价指标体系,综合熵权法和层次分析法确定指标综合权重,对2008-2013年安徽省区域生态安全状况进行评价和预警。[结果]结果发现安徽省生态安全综合指数总体呈上升趋势,大部分区域处于轻警-无警区。生态安全指数空间上呈南高北低趋势,皖南山区生态安全状况最好,江淮地区次之,皖北地区较差。从驱动因子上看,皖北地区生态安全受压力指标影响较大,江淮地区生态安全受状态指标影响较大,皖南地区生态安全受响应指标影响较大。[结论]本研究进一步丰富了省域生态安全评价实证案例和相关理论体系,为政府制定相关决策提供了技术支撑和理论依据。

关键词: 米易县, 米易县, 植烟土壤, 生态化学计量学

Abstract: With rapid development of urbanization and industrialization, the contradiction between the economic development and ecological environmental protection is increasing. It is significant to coordinate the development of regional economic, social and ecological environment by objectively assessing the ecological security situation, change rule, influencing factors and conducting accurate early warning of ecological security in time. This study used the PSR model to construct the index system of ecological security evaluation in Anhui, combined with entropy method and AHP method to determine the weight of index, and to carry out the ecological security evaluation and early warning of Anhui from 2008 to 2013. The results showed that: the comprehensive index of ecological security in Anhui was on the rise, and most of the regions were in‘light warning’or‘no warning’; the ecological security index (ESI) was higher in the south and lower in the north; the ESI in southern Anhui was high, that in central Anhui was middle, and that in northern Anhui was low; ecological security in northern Anhui was greatly affected by pressure indicators, in central Anhui was greatly affected by state indicators, and in southern Anhui was greatly affected by response indicators. This study enriches the empirical cases and related theory system of ecological security research at provincial scale, and provides support for the government to make relevant decisions.