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中国农学通报 ›› 2019, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (23): 103-109.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb19020018

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

1957-2017年朔州气温变化特征分析

朱彩芬, 胡桃花   

  1. 朔州市气象局
  • 收稿日期:2019-02-14 修回日期:2019-07-19 接受日期:2019-05-19 出版日期:2019-08-13 发布日期:2019-08-13
  • 通讯作者: 朱彩芬
  • 基金资助:
    朔州市科技局科研项目“朔州地区太阳辐射的分布特征”(201333)。

Temperature Change Characteristics in Shuozhou from 1957 to 2017

  • Received:2019-02-14 Revised:2019-07-19 Accepted:2019-05-19 Online:2019-08-13 Published:2019-08-13

摘要: 为研究朔州气温变化的区域性差异,合理开发区域气候资源,更好地改善农业生态环境,本文利用1957-2017年朔州年平均气温、平均最高最低气温、极端最高最低气温数据研究朔州气温变化的气候特征。结果表明:(1)朔州近61年年平均气温呈现上升趋势,增温速率为0.4℃/10a,明显高于全国的增温速率(0.25℃/10a)。4季平均气温也呈现上升趋势,其中,冬春季增温比较明显。(2)年平均最低气温和极端最低气温增温速率分别为0.47℃/10a和0.61℃/10a,远远高于年平均最高气温(0.3℃/10a)和极端最高气温(0.18℃/10a)的增温速率。(3)气候异常分析可知,4季均可发生异常,其中冬季发生异常的年份最多。(4)通过M-K突变分析可知,平均最低气温和极端最低气温突变与上世纪70年代,早于年平均气温的突变时间(上世纪90年代)。

关键词: 高温日数, 高温日数, 时空变化特征, 线性趋势, 通径分析, 小波分析

Abstract: In order to study the regional differences of temperature change, exploit the regional climate resources rationally and improve the agricultural ecological environment , the climatic characteristics of temperature change in Shuozhou were studied by using annual average temperature, average maximum and minimum temperature and extreme maximum and minimum temperature date from 1957 to 2017 in this paper. The results show that:(1)The annual average temperature of Shuozhou in recent 61 years show an upward trend, and the increase rate of temperature is 0.4 ℃/10a , which is obviously higher than that of the whole country (0.25 ℃/10a). The average temperature of four seasons also show an upward trend and the increase of temperature in winter and spring is more obvious. (2)The annual average minimum temperature (0.47 C/10a) and extreme minimum temperature (0.61 C/10a) are much higher than the annual average maximum temperature (0.3 C/10a) and extreme maximum temperature (0.18 C/10a). (3)Climate anomaly analysis shows that the anomalies can occur in four seasons, especially in winter. (4)The abrupt change analysis shows that the abrupt of average minimum temperature and extreme minimum temperature occurs in 1970s, which is earlier than the abrupt change time of the annual average temperature(1990s).

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